Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: IK Franke vs Helges IF

Team pages: IK Franke · Helges IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

IK Franke2.55

Helges IF1.13

1X2

67% 18% 14%

IK Franke Draw Helges IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Franke 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLLWW

Helges IF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDLLLL

Head-to-head

IK Franke 1–0 Helges IF (1 last)

Helges IF0-3IK Franke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Franke 1489 · Helges IF 1409

	IK Franke	Draw	Helges IF
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Franke (rating 1489 vs 1409).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Franke	Helges IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	1.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.04 ★
2	7.00 → 6.25▼	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +10’	1.28	5.50	7.00
22:54 +11’	1.36▲	5.00▼	5.75▼
05:52 +3’	1.33▼	5.00	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +56’	1.30	5.04	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Franke 1–0–0 Helges IF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Helges IF	0-3 HT 0-1	IK Franke

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	24	17	5	2	56	25	56
2	Ängby IF	24	15	6	3	58	27	51
3	Sunnersta AIF	24	15	5	4	58	21	50
4	Enskede IK	24	15	4	5	41	24	49
5	Taby FK	24	12	5	7	42	25	41
6	Falu BS FK	24	12	5	7	37	30	41
7	FC Gute	24	9	5	10	38	35	32
8	IK Franke	24	9	4	11	40	41	31
9	Bollstanäs SK	24	8	7	9	43	45	31
10	Kungsängens IF	24	4	10	10	27	37	22
11	IFK Lidingo	24	5	5	14	26	52	20
12	Viggbyholms IK	24	5	4	15	23	49	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	24	3	5	16	25	57	14
14	Helges IF	24	2	4	18	20	66	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Franke	Helges IF
Korsnas IF FK	3-1 W	3-0 W
Kungsängens IF	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ängby IF	1-5 L	0-9 L
FC Gute	1-0 W	1-2 L
Taby FK	1-2 L	1-1 D
Skiljebo SK	1-3 L	2-4 L
Falu BS FK	1-3 L	1-2 L
Bollstanäs SK	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: IK Franke (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Franke

DWLLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
27/09	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
20/09	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
13/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-3	1-5	3	4	L
05/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
28/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
23/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-3	6	6	L
15/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
02/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Helges IF

WLLLDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-4	0-9	2	1	L
26/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-2	11	2	L
20/09	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-4	6	0	L
13/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
09/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
01/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Franke vs Helges IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Franke win (67%). Probabilities: IK Franke 67%, draw 18%, Helges IF 14%.

How many goals are expected in IK Franke vs Helges IF?

The model expects 3.68 goals (IK Franke 2.55 · Helges IF 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Franke vs Helges IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.