Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF

Team pages: Staffanstorp United · Lilla Torg FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Staffanstorp United1.74

Lilla Torg FF1.32

1X2

46% 25% 28%

Staffanstorp United Draw Lilla Torg FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Staffanstorp United 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDDDWL

Lilla Torg FF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLDDWL

Head-to-head

Staffanstorp United 0–1–0 Lilla Torg FF (1 last)

Lilla Torg FF0-0Staffanstorp United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Staffanstorp United 1511 · Lilla Torg FF 1508

	Staffanstorp United	Draw	Lilla Torg FF
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staffanstorp United	Lilla Torg FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:55 +27’	1.91	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Staffanstorp United 0–1–0 Lilla Torg FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Lilla Torg FF	0-0 HT 0-0	Staffanstorp United

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	15	10	3	2	33	17	33
2	Oskarshamns AIK	15	8	3	4	30	19	27
3	Linero IF	15	8	1	6	28	21	25
4	IFK Berga	15	7	3	5	30	20	24
5	IFK Trelleborg	14	6	5	3	20	14	23
6	Växjö Norra	14	6	5	3	20	17	23
7	Osterlen FF	15	6	3	6	20	21	21
8	Nosaby	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
9	Lilla Torg FF	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
10	Torns IF	15	6	0	9	22	37	18
11	Staffanstorp United	15	4	5	6	26	28	17
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	14	5	1	8	22	23	16
13	Räppe GOIF	15	3	4	8	16	27	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	15	2	2	11	16	31	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staffanstorp United	Lilla Torg FF
Torns IF	0-2 L	4-0 W
Växjö Norra	2-2 D	1-1 D
Osterlen FF	1-3 L	0-0 D
Nosaby	5-0 W	3-3 D
FK Karlskrona	1-1 D	1-1 D
IFK Karlshamn	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staffanstorp United

WLDWLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
27/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	4-1	8	2	W
18/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	6	2	D
12/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
30/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
22/05	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-0	4	2	W
16/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
10/05	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
02/05	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

Lilla Torg FF

DDWWDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
24/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
17/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-3	4	9	D
12/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
07/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
24/05	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
13/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
09/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
30/04	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Staffanstorp United win (46%). Probabilities: Staffanstorp United 46%, draw 25%, Lilla Torg FF 28%.

How many goals are expected in Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Staffanstorp United 1.74 · Lilla Torg FF 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.