Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 31/07, 20:00
Prediction: FOC Farsta vs Ragsveds IF
Team pages: FOC Farsta · Ragsveds IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
FOC Farsta1.89
Ragsveds IF1.63
1X2
FOC Farsta
Draw
Ragsveds IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FOC Farsta
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Ragsveds IF
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FOC Farsta
3–2
Ragsveds IF
(5 last)
- Ragsveds IF0-1FOC Farsta
- FOC Farsta3-2Ragsveds IF
- Ragsveds IF2-1FOC Farsta
- FOC Farsta1-2Ragsveds IF
- Ragsveds IF4-6FOC Farsta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FOC Farsta 1569 · Ragsveds IF 1464
| FOC Farsta | Draw | Ragsveds IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1569 vs 1464).
- H2H favours FOC Farsta: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FOC Farsta | Ragsveds IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FOC Farsta 3–0–2 Ragsveds IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FOC Farsta |
| 10/10/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Ragsveds IF |
| 04/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FOC Farsta |
| 13/10/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ragsveds IF |
| 16/06/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 4-6 HT 2-4 | FOC Farsta |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykopings BIS | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | BK Forward | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | IFK Haninge | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 28 |
| 4 | FOC Farsta | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | IK Sleipner | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
| 6 | Smedby AIS | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Ragsveds IF | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 20 |
| 9 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Lindö FF | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | IF Eker Örebro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 36 | 14 |
| 12 | Karlslunds IF FK | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 13 | Syrianska FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 12 |
| 14 | Nacka FC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 7 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FOC Farsta | Ragsveds IF |
|---|---|---|
| Karlslunds IF FK | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| BK Forward | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Smedby AIS | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Nykopings BIS | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Syrianska FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ragsveds IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FOC Farsta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Ragsveds IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FOC Farsta vs Ragsveds IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FOC Farsta win (43%). Probabilities: FOC Farsta 43%, draw 24%, Ragsveds IF 33%.
How many goals are expected in FOC Farsta vs Ragsveds IF?
The model expects 3.52 goals (FOC Farsta 1.89 · Ragsveds IF 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FOC Farsta vs Ragsveds IF?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.