Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Smedby AIS vs Örebro Syrianska IF

Team pages: Smedby AIS · Örebro Syrianska IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Smedby AIS1.7

Örebro Syrianska IF1.22

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Smedby AIS Draw Örebro Syrianska IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Smedby AIS 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Örebro Syrianska IF 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Smedby AIS 0–1 Örebro Syrianska IF (1 last)

Örebro Syrianska IF2-1Smedby AIS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Smedby AIS 1474 · Örebro Syrianska IF 1473

	Smedby AIS	Draw	Örebro Syrianska IF
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Smedby AIS	Örebro Syrianska IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
21:54 +8’	1.83	3.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Smedby AIS 0–0–1 Örebro Syrianska IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Örebro Syrianska IF	2-1 HT 1-1	Smedby AIS

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykopings BIS	14	9	2	3	27	12	29
2	BK Forward	14	9	2	3	29	18	29
3	IFK Haninge	14	9	1	4	36	26	28
4	FOC Farsta	14	8	1	5	30	17	25
5	IK Sleipner	14	7	4	3	26	26	25
6	Smedby AIS	14	7	2	5	29	21	23
7	Ragsveds IF	14	6	4	4	30	23	22
8	Fittja IF	14	6	2	6	27	27	20
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	14	5	1	8	16	16	16
10	Lindö FF	14	5	1	8	21	23	16
11	IF Eker Örebro	14	4	2	8	17	36	14
12	Karlslunds IF FK	14	3	4	7	15	23	13
13	Syrianska FC	14	3	3	8	20	35	12
14	Nacka FC	14	2	1	11	13	33	7
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Smedby AIS	Örebro Syrianska IF
Lindö FF	0-2 L	0-2 L
IFK Haninge	1-4 L	0-3 L
FOC Farsta	1-1 D	0-1 L
Syrianska FC	4-0 W	3-0 W
IK Sleipner	1-1 D	0-1 L
Fittja IF	3-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Smedby AIS (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Smedby AIS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
21/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
15/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
07/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	6	0	W
14/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
09/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
03/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-3	3-5	5	4	L
25/04	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	4-1	5	1	W

Örebro Syrianska IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	IF Karlstad Fotboll Club Friendly List	1-2	1-4	4	1	L
28/06	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
21/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
07/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
31/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
23/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
09/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
03/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Smedby AIS vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Smedby AIS win (48%). Probabilities: Smedby AIS 48%, draw 25%, Örebro Syrianska IF 27%.

How many goals are expected in Smedby AIS vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Smedby AIS 1.7 · Örebro Syrianska IF 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Smedby AIS vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.