Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Smedby AIS vs IK Sleipner

Team pages: Smedby AIS · IK Sleipner

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Smedby AIS1.36

IK Sleipner1.52

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Smedby AIS Draw IK Sleipner

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Smedby AIS 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDWDLLLDL

IK Sleipner 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Smedby AIS 0–3–3 IK Sleipner (6 last)

IK Sleipner1-1Smedby AIS
Smedby AIS1-2IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner1-1Smedby AIS
Smedby AIS2-2IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner1-0Smedby AIS
IK Sleipner3-2Smedby AIS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Sleipner (rating 1475 vs 1554).
H2H favours IK Sleipner: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Smedby AIS	IK Sleipner
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	4 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
X	3.67 → 3.67	Pinn 3.67
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +55’	3.59	3.67	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Smedby AIS 0–3–3 IK Sleipner

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	1-1 HT 1-0	Smedby AIS
05/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	1-2 HT 1-2	IK Sleipner
31/03/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	1-1 HT 1-0	Smedby AIS
20/09/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	2-2 HT 1-1	IK Sleipner
26/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	1-0 HT 0-0	Smedby AIS
27/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	3-2 HT 1-0	Smedby AIS

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FOC Farsta	25	15	4	6	51	27	49
2	IK Sleipner	25	14	6	5	51	36	48
3	Nykopings BIS	25	14	4	7	43	24	46
4	BK Forward	25	13	5	7	46	31	44
5	IFK Haninge	25	13	4	8	62	50	43
6	Ragsveds IF	25	12	6	7	49	40	42
7	Smedby AIS	25	10	6	9	44	37	36
8	Fittja IF	25	10	3	12	37	40	33
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	25	9	4	12	29	30	31
10	Karlslunds IF FK	25	8	7	10	38	42	31
11	Nacka FC	25	8	3	14	31	49	27
12	Syrianska FC	25	7	5	13	39	54	26
13	Lindö FF	25	6	2	17	33	52	20
14	IF Eker Örebro	25	5	3	17	31	72	18
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Smedby AIS	IK Sleipner
Ragsveds IF	3-4 L	4-0 W
Nykopings BIS	1-1 D	0-1 L
Fittja IF	0-1 L	2-0 W
FOC Farsta	0-3 L	0-0 D
Nacka FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
BK Forward	3-1 W	1-1 D
Syrianska FC	2-2 D	1-3 L
IF Eker Örebro	1-0 W	7-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IK Sleipner (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Smedby AIS

DWDWDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	3-4	3	2	L
02/10	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
27/09	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
19/09	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
12/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	3-1	3	3	W
22/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
15/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
08/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

IK Sleipner

LWWWWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
03/10	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-1	10	5	D
27/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
20/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-3	10	1	L
12/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	7-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
13/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Smedby AIS vs IK Sleipner?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IK Sleipner win (40%). Probabilities: Smedby AIS 33%, draw 27%, IK Sleipner 40%.

How many goals are expected in Smedby AIS vs IK Sleipner?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Smedby AIS 1.36 · IK Sleipner 1.52), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Smedby AIS vs IK Sleipner?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.