Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Landvetter IS vs BK Astrio

Team pages: Landvetter IS · BK Astrio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Landvetter IS2.86

BK Astrio0.86

1X2

79% 14% 8%

Landvetter IS Draw BK Astrio

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Landvetter IS 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLWDWW

BK Astrio 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Landvetter IS 2–4 BK Astrio (6 last)

BK Astrio0-2Landvetter IS
Landvetter IS0-1BK Astrio
BK Astrio4-2Landvetter IS
BK Astrio3-1Landvetter IS
Landvetter IS3-2BK Astrio
BK Astrio3-2Landvetter IS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Landvetter IS 1561 · BK Astrio 1407

	Landvetter IS	Draw	BK Astrio
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Landvetter IS (rating 1561 vs 1407).
H2H favours BK Astrio: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Landvetter IS	BK Astrio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.80

2 (+2.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.14▲	Bet365 1.14
X	8.50 → 7.00▼	Pinn 9.26 ★
2	15.00 → 12.00▼	Pinn 14.81

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:55 +4’	1.11	8.50	15.00
22:17 +20’	1.14▲	7.00▼	12.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +47’	1.06	9.26	14.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Landvetter IS 2–0–4 BK Astrio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	0-2 HT 0-0	Landvetter IS
29/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Landvetter IS	0-1 HT 0-1	BK Astrio
03/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	4-2 HT 1-1	Landvetter IS
28/09/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-1 HT 2-1	Landvetter IS
26/05/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Landvetter IS	3-2 HT 2-0	BK Astrio
16/09/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-2 HT 3-0	Landvetter IS

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	24	17	3	4	42	19	54
2	Dalstorps IF	24	13	7	4	47	26	46
3	Jonsereds IF	24	12	6	6	40	37	42
4	Hestrafors IF	24	12	5	7	48	39	41
5	Västra Frölunda IF	24	10	7	7	45	39	37
6	IF Boljan	25	10	7	8	39	33	37
7	Lindome GIF	25	11	4	10	47	43	37
8	Qviding FIF	24	10	4	10	44	44	34
9	Onsala BK	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
10	Torslanda IK	24	7	7	10	39	42	28
11	IK Kongahälla	24	7	6	11	35	45	27
12	Astorps FF	24	7	5	12	29	41	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	24	5	5	14	38	46	20
14	BK Astrio	24	2	4	18	22	57	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Landvetter IS	BK Astrio
Qviding FIF	1-0 W	1-3 L
Torslanda IK	3-1 W	0-6 L
IF Boljan	1-1 D	0-1 L
Lindome GIF	2-1 W	0-2 L
IK Kongahälla	3-4 L	1-5 L
Astorps FF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Västra Frölunda IF	0-1 L	1-1 D
Galtabäcks BK	2-0 W	6-3 W
Jonsereds IF	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Landvetter IS (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Landvetter IS

WDWLWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
25/09	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
18/09	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
11/09	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
04/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-4	13	4	L
30/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
23/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
14/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
09/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
02/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

BK Astrio

LLLLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
26/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	6-3	–	–	W
19/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
06/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
22/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Landvetter IS vs BK Astrio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Landvetter IS win (79%). Probabilities: Landvetter IS 79%, draw 14%, BK Astrio 8%.

How many goals are expected in Landvetter IS vs BK Astrio?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Landvetter IS 2.86 · BK Astrio 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Landvetter IS vs BK Astrio?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.