Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Onsala BK vs Astorps FF

Team pages: Onsala BK · Astorps FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Onsala BK1.41

Astorps FF1.25

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Onsala BK Draw Astorps FF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Onsala BK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWWLW

Astorps FF 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Onsala BK 0–3–0 Astorps FF (3 last)

Astorps FF1-1Onsala BK
Onsala BK1-1Astorps FF
Astorps FF1-1Onsala BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Onsala BK 1488 · Astorps FF 1471

	Onsala BK	Draw	Astorps FF
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Onsala BK	Astorps FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	4 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.70

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.10▼	Pinn 2.19 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.63 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.71

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +9’	2.15	3.70	2.63
01:18 +7’	2.10▼	3.70	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +56’	2.19	3.34	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Onsala BK 0–3–0 Astorps FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	1-1 HT 0-1	Onsala BK
14/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	1-1 HT 0-0	Astorps FF
19/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	1-1 HT 0-0	Onsala BK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	24	17	3	4	42	19	54
2	Dalstorps IF	24	13	7	4	47	26	46
3	Jonsereds IF	24	12	6	6	40	37	42
4	Hestrafors IF	24	12	5	7	48	39	41
5	Västra Frölunda IF	24	10	7	7	45	39	37
6	IF Boljan	25	10	7	8	39	33	37
7	Lindome GIF	25	11	4	10	47	43	37
8	Qviding FIF	24	10	4	10	44	44	34
9	Onsala BK	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
10	Torslanda IK	24	7	7	10	39	42	28
11	IK Kongahälla	24	7	6	11	35	45	27
12	Astorps FF	24	7	5	12	29	41	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	24	5	5	14	38	46	20
14	BK Astrio	24	2	4	18	22	57	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Onsala BK	Astorps FF
Hestrafors IF	1-0 W	1-2 L
Qviding FIF	1-2 L	1-2 L
BK Astrio	2-0 W	2-1 W
Västra Frölunda IF	1-3 L	0-2 L
Dalstorps IF	0-2 L	1-3 L
Lindome GIF	1-4 L	0-2 L
Jonsereds IF	1-2 L	2-0 W
IF Boljan	3-0 W	1-0 W
IK Kongahälla	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Onsala BK

DWLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
27/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
19/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
12/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
29/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
23/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Astorps FF

LLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
27/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
20/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
06/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
30/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
22/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	10	2	L
01/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Onsala BK vs Astorps FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Onsala BK win (41%). Probabilities: Onsala BK 41%, draw 26%, Astorps FF 33%.

How many goals are expected in Onsala BK vs Astorps FF?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Onsala BK 1.41 · Astorps FF 1.25), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Onsala BK vs Astorps FF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.