Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: IK Kongahälla vs Qviding FIF

Team pages: IK Kongahälla · Qviding FIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

IK Kongahälla2.08

Qviding FIF1.54

1X2

50% 23% 28%

IK Kongahälla Draw Qviding FIF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Kongahälla 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWWWWL

Qviding FIF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

IK Kongahälla 0–2 Qviding FIF (2 last)

Qviding FIF3-1IK Kongahälla
Qviding FIF4-0IK Kongahälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Kongahälla 1505 · Qviding FIF 1517

	IK Kongahälla	Draw	Qviding FIF
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Qviding FIF: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Kongahälla	Qviding FIF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.6	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 10:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.41 ★
2	3.25 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.49

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +5’	1.80	4.00	3.25
05:36 +23’	1.90▲	3.90▼	3.10▼
06:36 +13’	2.05▲	3.90	2.70▼
09:19 +2’	1.90▼	3.90	3.00▲
10:51 +3’	1.80▼	4.00▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +46’	2.05	4.00	2.58
08:23 +59’	1.77▼	4.23▲	3.09▲
13:21 +47’	1.63▼	4.41▲	3.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Kongahälla 0–0–2 Qviding FIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Qviding FIF	3-1 HT 1-0	IK Kongahälla
20/06/18 Sweden 3.div Nordvästra Götaland	Qviding FIF	4-0 HT 2-0	IK Kongahälla

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	24	17	3	4	42	19	54
2	Dalstorps IF	24	13	7	4	47	26	46
3	Jonsereds IF	24	12	6	6	40	37	42
4	Hestrafors IF	24	12	5	7	48	39	41
5	Västra Frölunda IF	24	10	7	7	45	39	37
6	IF Boljan	25	10	7	8	39	33	37
7	Lindome GIF	25	11	4	10	47	43	37
8	Qviding FIF	24	10	4	10	44	44	34
9	Onsala BK	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
10	Torslanda IK	24	7	7	10	39	42	28
11	IK Kongahälla	24	7	6	11	35	45	27
12	Astorps FF	24	7	5	12	29	41	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	24	5	5	14	38	46	20
14	BK Astrio	24	2	4	18	22	57	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Kongahälla	Qviding FIF
Torslanda IK	0-2 L	4-1 W
Hestrafors IF	3-1 W	1-2 L
BK Astrio	5-1 W	3-1 W
Landvetter IS	4-3 W	0-1 L
Galtabäcks BK	1-3 L	1-1 D
Astorps FF	0-2 L	2-1 W
Dalstorps IF	1-4 L	1-2 L
Onsala BK	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Qviding FIF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Kongahälla

DLWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
24/09	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-2	1	2	W
19/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	4-3	3	4	W
28/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	16	2	L
22/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
09/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
31/07	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Qviding FIF

WDLWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
27/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
13/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
06/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
28/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-5	1	5	L
22/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-0	4-1	13	0	W
14/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
07/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
02/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	3-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Kongahälla vs Qviding FIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Kongahälla win (50%). Probabilities: IK Kongahälla 50%, draw 23%, Qviding FIF 28%.

How many goals are expected in IK Kongahälla vs Qviding FIF?

The model expects 3.62 goals (IK Kongahälla 2.08 · Qviding FIF 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Kongahälla vs Qviding FIF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.