Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 07/08, 19:30

Prediction: Räppe GOIF vs IFK Berga

Team pages: Räppe GOIF · IFK Berga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Räppe GOIF1.37

IFK Berga1.84

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Räppe GOIF Draw IFK Berga

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Räppe GOIF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDDLD

IFK Berga 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Räppe GOIF 4–2 IFK Berga (6 last)

IFK Berga6-0Räppe GOIF
IFK Berga0-1Räppe GOIF
Räppe GOIF1-0IFK Berga
IFK Berga0-1Räppe GOIF
Räppe GOIF5-1IFK Berga
IFK Berga3-1Räppe GOIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Räppe GOIF 1452 · IFK Berga 1542

	Räppe GOIF	Draw	IFK Berga
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Berga (rating 1452 vs 1542).
H2H favours Räppe GOIF: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Räppe GOIF	IFK Berga
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.60

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.36
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.77 ★
2	2.05 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +19’	2.88	3.50	2.05
11:56 +5’	3.25▲	3.60▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:01 +1’	3.20	3.53	1.88
12:01	3.22▲	3.71▲	1.83▼
14:13	3.36▲	3.77▲	1.77▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Räppe GOIF 4–0–2 IFK Berga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	6-0 HT 2-0	Räppe GOIF
05/10/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	0-1 HT 0-1	Räppe GOIF
20/06/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Räppe GOIF	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Berga
05/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	0-1 HT 0-0	Räppe GOIF
01/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Räppe GOIF	5-1 HT 4-0	IFK Berga
08/10/22 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	3-1 HT 3-0	Räppe GOIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	15	10	3	2	33	17	33
2	Oskarshamns AIK	15	8	3	4	30	19	27
3	Linero IF	15	8	1	6	28	21	25
4	IFK Berga	15	7	3	5	30	20	24
5	IFK Trelleborg	14	6	5	3	20	14	23
6	Växjö Norra	14	6	5	3	20	17	23
7	Osterlen FF	15	6	3	6	20	21	21
8	Nosaby	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
9	Lilla Torg FF	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
10	Torns IF	15	6	0	9	22	37	18
11	Staffanstorp United	15	4	5	6	26	28	17
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	14	5	1	8	22	23	16
13	Räppe GOIF	15	3	4	8	16	27	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	15	2	2	11	16	31	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Räppe GOIF	IFK Berga
Sölvesborgs GoIF	1-1 D	3-2 W
IFK Trelleborg	0-1 L	3-1 W
Växjö Norra	2-0 W	3-1 W
Torns IF	1-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Berga (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Räppe GOIF

LLLWLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
27/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-4	2	2	L
22/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden Cup	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
18/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/06	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
06/06	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
29/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
14/05	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-6	5	6	L
08/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	9	3	L

IFK Berga

DWWLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-1	2	4	W
26/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-1	7	7	W
17/06	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
13/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	4-1	7	4	W
06/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
29/05	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
24/05	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
14/05	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	6-0	7	6	W
09/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Räppe GOIF vs IFK Berga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Berga win (47%). Probabilities: Räppe GOIF 28%, draw 25%, IFK Berga 47%.

How many goals are expected in Räppe GOIF vs IFK Berga?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Räppe GOIF 1.37 · IFK Berga 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Räppe GOIF vs IFK Berga?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.