Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: Eskilsminne IF vs Tvååkers IF

Team pages: Eskilsminne IF · Tvååkers IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Eskilsminne IF1.68

Tvååkers IF1.41

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Eskilsminne IF Draw Tvååkers IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilsminne IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWDLLL

Tvååkers IF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Eskilsminne IF 1–2–3 Tvååkers IF (6 last)

Tvååkers IF1-0Eskilsminne IF
Tvååkers IF2-1Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF0-0Tvååkers IF
Eskilsminne IF1-0Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF1-0Eskilsminne IF
Tvååkers IF1-1Eskilsminne IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilsminne IF 1470 · Tvååkers IF 1538

	Eskilsminne IF	Draw	Tvååkers IF
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tvååkers IF (rating 1470 vs 1538).
H2H favours Tvååkers IF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilsminne IF	Tvååkers IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +13’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilsminne IF 1–2–3 Tvååkers IF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Eskilsminne IF
01/09/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Eskilsminne IF
30/03/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	0-0 HT 0-0	Tvååkers IF
15/10/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Tvååkers IF
15/04/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Eskilsminne IF
26/03/22 Club Friendly List	Tvååkers IF	1-1 HT 1-0	Eskilsminne IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	21	12	6	3	44	24	42
2	Hässleholms IF	21	12	3	6	41	26	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	21	11	6	4	45	32	39
4	Lunds BK	21	10	8	3	44	26	38
5	FC Rosengård 1917	21	9	7	5	35	28	34
6	Tvååkers IF	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	21	8	8	5	39	31	32
8	FC Trollhättan	21	7	7	7	33	33	28
9	Jonkopings Sodra	21	7	6	8	25	20	27
10	Skövde AIK	21	6	9	6	23	29	27
11	BK Olympic	21	8	2	11	38	43	26
12	Eskilsminne IF	21	7	4	10	32	38	25
13	Kristianstad FC	21	5	6	10	25	33	21
14	Laholms FK	21	6	3	12	28	38	21
15	Angelholm	21	3	8	10	25	39	17
16	Utsiktens BK	21	1	5	15	17	54	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilsminne IF	Tvååkers IF
Hässleholms IF	0-2 L	2-4 L
Utsiktens BK	2-2 D	2-2 D
Kristianstad FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
BK Olympic	1-2 L	4-3 W
Atvidabergs FF	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tvååkers IF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilsminne IF

LWLWDWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	1	2	L
29/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
08/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/07	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	3-2	5	5	W
28/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	0-4	3	3	L

Tvååkers IF

WWLDLWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	1	L
18/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	3	0	W
13/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilsminne IF vs Tvååkers IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eskilsminne IF win (43%). Probabilities: Eskilsminne IF 43%, draw 25%, Tvååkers IF 32%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilsminne IF vs Tvååkers IF?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Eskilsminne IF 1.68 · Tvååkers IF 1.41), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilsminne IF vs Tvååkers IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.