Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Tvååkers IF vs FC Rosengård 1917

Team pages: Tvååkers IF · FC Rosengård 1917

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Tvååkers IF1.32

FC Rosengård 19171.8

1X2

28% 24% 48%

Tvååkers IF Draw FC Rosengård 1917

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tvååkers IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLLLLD

FC Rosengård 1917 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLDWLD

Head-to-head

Tvååkers IF 2–1 FC Rosengård 1917 (3 last)

FC Rosengård 19170-1Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF1-2FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19170-1Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tvååkers IF 1496 · FC Rosengård 1917 1476

	Tvååkers IF	Draw	FC Rosengård 1917
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	28%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tvååkers IF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tvååkers IF	FC Rosengård 1917
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.4	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.75

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +4’	3.20	3.75	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tvååkers IF 2–0–1 FC Rosengård 1917

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-1 HT 0-1	Tvååkers IF
07/09/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Rosengård 1917
04/05/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-1 HT 0-1	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	26	17	6	3	57	28	57
2	Hässleholms IF	26	15	3	8	47	30	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	13	8	5	50	36	47
4	Lunds BK	26	12	8	6	50	32	44
5	Ariana FC Malmo	26	12	8	6	49	37	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	26	10	9	7	42	38	39
7	FC Trollhättan	26	10	8	8	45	41	38
8	Tvååkers IF	26	9	7	10	34	40	34
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	9	6	11	29	27	33
10	BK Olympic	26	10	3	13	48	50	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	8	9	9	33	42	33
12	Eskilsminne IF	26	9	5	12	42	51	32
13	Kristianstad FC	26	7	6	13	29	39	27
14	Laholms FK	26	7	5	14	33	44	26
15	Angelholm	26	5	9	12	33	47	24
16	Utsiktens BK	26	2	6	18	23	62	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tvååkers IF	FC Rosengård 1917
Laholms FK	1-1 D	4-2 W
Hässleholms IF	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Trollhättan	2-4 L	3-2 W
Trelleborgs FF	0-1 L	3-4 L
Jonkopings Sodra	1-0 W	0-0 D
BK Olympic	4-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Rosengård 1917 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tvååkers IF

WWDWDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
03/10	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	10	4	L
26/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	3	6	L
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W

FC Rosengård 1917

DDWWLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
03/10	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-3	7	0	L
26/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
20/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	3-4	4	4	L
11/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
04/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	7	5	W
29/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
22/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
16/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tvååkers IF vs FC Rosengård 1917?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rosengård 1917 win (48%). Probabilities: Tvååkers IF 28%, draw 24%, FC Rosengård 1917 48%.

How many goals are expected in Tvååkers IF vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Tvååkers IF 1.32 · FC Rosengård 1917 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tvååkers IF vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.