Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 23/10, 19:00
Prediction: Utsiktens BK vs Tvååkers IF
Team pages: Utsiktens BK · Tvååkers IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Utsiktens BK1.01
Tvååkers IF2.15
1X2
Utsiktens BK
Draw
Tvååkers IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Utsiktens BK
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Tvååkers IF
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Utsiktens BK
0–4–2
Tvååkers IF
(6 last)
- Tvååkers IF2-2Utsiktens BK
- Tvååkers IF2-0Utsiktens BK
- Utsiktens BK0-4Tvååkers IF
- Tvååkers IF2-2Utsiktens BK
- Utsiktens BK3-3Tvååkers IF
- Tvååkers IF2-2Utsiktens BK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Utsiktens BK 1424 · Tvååkers IF 1471
| Utsiktens BK | Draw | Tvååkers IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| Market | 18% | 17% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tvååkers IF (rating 1424 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Tvååkers IF: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Utsiktens BK | Tvååkers IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsiktens BK 0–4–2 Tvååkers IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Sweden 1.div Södra | Tvååkers IF | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Utsiktens BK |
| 04/09/21 Sweden 1.div Södra | Tvååkers IF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Utsiktens BK |
| 08/05/21 Sweden 1.div Södra | Utsiktens BK | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Tvååkers IF |
| 04/10/20 Sweden 1.div Södra | Tvååkers IF | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Utsiktens BK |
| 17/06/20 Sweden 1.div Södra | Utsiktens BK | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Tvååkers IF |
| 24/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra | Tvååkers IF | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Utsiktens BK |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborgs FF | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 30 | 60 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 51 |
| 3 | Atvidabergs FF | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 38 | 47 |
| 4 | Lunds BK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 36 | 44 |
| 5 | Ariana FC Malmo | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 39 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Rosengård 1917 | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Trollhättan | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 44 | 38 |
| 8 | Jonkopings Sodra | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | BK Olympic | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 51 | 36 |
| 10 | Tvååkers IF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 35 |
| 11 | Skövde AIK | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 44 | 34 |
| 12 | Eskilsminne IF | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 53 | 33 |
| 13 | Kristianstad FC | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 30 |
| 14 | Laholms FK | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 29 |
| 15 | Angelholm | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 24 |
| 16 | Utsiktens BK | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 66 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Utsiktens BK | Tvååkers IF |
|---|---|---|
| BK Olympic | 1-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Skövde AIK | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Jonkopings Sodra | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ariana FC Malmo | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Laholms FK | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Trollhättan | 0-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Trelleborgs FF | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Eskilsminne IF | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tvååkers IF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Utsiktens BK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Tvååkers IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/09 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Utsiktens BK vs Tvååkers IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tvååkers IF win (64%). Probabilities: Utsiktens BK 17%, draw 19%, Tvååkers IF 64%.
How many goals are expected in Utsiktens BK vs Tvååkers IF?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Utsiktens BK 1.01 · Tvååkers IF 2.15), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Utsiktens BK vs Tvååkers IF?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.