Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 05/09, 14:30

Prediction: IK Franke vs FC Gute

Team pages: IK Franke · FC Gute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

IK Franke1.58

FC Gute1.57

1X2

38% 25% 37%

IK Franke Draw FC Gute

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Franke 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLDLDWLLL

FC Gute 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

IK Franke 2–1–3 FC Gute (6 last)

FC Gute2-1IK Franke
FC Gute3-2IK Franke
IK Franke3-1FC Gute
IK Franke1-3FC Gute
FC Gute1-1IK Franke
IK Franke2-1FC Gute

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Franke 1431 · FC Gute 1488

	IK Franke	Draw	FC Gute
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Gute (rating 1431 vs 1488).
H2H favours FC Gute: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Franke	FC Gute
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	1.3 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.70

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:34 +10’	2.35	3.70	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Franke 2–1–3 FC Gute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	2-1 HT 1-1	IK Franke
16/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	3-2 HT 1-0	IK Franke
17/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IK Franke	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Gute
03/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IK Franke	1-3 HT 0-2	FC Gute
06/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	1-1 HT 0-0	IK Franke
16/09/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IK Franke	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Gute

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	19	12	5	2	47	17	41
2	Skiljebo SK	19	12	5	2	45	22	41
3	Ängby IF	19	11	6	2	35	22	39
4	Falu BS FK	19	11	4	4	30	20	37
5	Enskede IK	19	10	4	5	31	22	34
6	Taby FK	19	10	3	6	34	20	33
7	Bollstanäs SK	19	7	7	5	38	31	28
8	FC Gute	19	7	5	7	31	28	26
9	IK Franke	19	6	4	9	32	32	22
10	Viggbyholms IK	19	4	4	11	17	35	16
11	IFK Lidingo	19	3	5	11	20	39	14
12	Kungsängens IF	19	1	10	8	19	32	13
13	Korsnas IF FK	19	2	5	12	19	45	11
14	Helges IF	19	2	3	14	15	48	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Franke	FC Gute
Taby FK	1-2 L	1-2 L
Falu BS FK	1-3 L	0-1 L
Bollstanäs SK	1-1 D	2-3 L
Kungsängens IF	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gute (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Franke

DDLDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
23/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-3	6	6	L
15/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
02/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
27/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	8	5	L
18/06	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-2	4	6	D
13/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
07/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	6	0	D
29/05	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

FC Gute

WLDLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
27/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
06/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-5	2	3	L
30/05	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Franke vs FC Gute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Franke win (38%). Probabilities: IK Franke 38%, draw 25%, FC Gute 37%.

How many goals are expected in IK Franke vs FC Gute?

The model expects 3.16 goals (IK Franke 1.58 · FC Gute 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Franke vs FC Gute?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.