Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 30/08, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Skövde FK vs Motala AIF FK

Team pages: IFK Skövde FK · Motala AIF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

IFK Skövde FK1.65

Motala AIF FK1.02

1X2

52% 25% 23%

IFK Skövde FK Draw Motala AIF FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skövde FK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDDDW

Motala AIF FK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLDLDD

Head-to-head

IFK Skövde FK 2–1 Motala AIF FK (3 last)

Motala AIF FK0-4IFK Skövde FK
Motala AIF FK1-0IFK Skövde FK
IFK Skövde FK4-2Motala AIF FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skövde FK 1532 · Motala AIF FK 1461

	IFK Skövde FK	Draw	Motala AIF FK
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Skövde FK (rating 1532 vs 1461).
H2H favours IFK Skövde FK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Skövde FK	Motala AIF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +10’	1.70	3.90	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skövde FK 2–0–1 Motala AIF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Motala AIF FK	0-4 HT 0-3	IFK Skövde FK
06/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Motala AIF FK	1-0 HT 0-0	IFK Skövde FK
09/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	4-2 HT 1-1	Motala AIF FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	18	15	3	0	44	12	48
2	Skara	19	12	5	2	37	21	41
3	Ahlafors IF	19	9	7	3	45	23	34
4	IFK Skövde FK	18	10	4	4	34	22	34
5	Grebbestads IF	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
6	Herrestads AIF	19	8	6	5	36	33	30
7	Stenungsunds IF	19	7	5	7	34	26	26
8	Vanersborgs FK	19	6	4	9	26	34	22
9	Motala AIF FK	18	5	6	7	24	24	21
10	IFK Kumla	19	5	5	9	20	37	20
11	Lidköpings FK	19	3	6	10	20	38	15
12	IK Tord	18	1	9	8	21	32	12
13	IF Karlstad II	19	2	6	11	20	35	12
14	Vänersborgs IF	18	2	3	13	20	50	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skövde FK	Motala AIF FK
Vanersborgs FK	1-0 W	0-1 L
Herrestads AIF	2-2 D	0-1 L
Grebbestads IF	1-1 D	0-2 L
IF Karlstad II	2-0 W	2-2 D
IFK Kumla	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Skövde FK (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Skövde FK

WLWLWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
15/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
18/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
12/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-4	9	3	L
07/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
29/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
22/05	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-1	1	6	W

Motala AIF FK

LWLDWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-2	6	8	D
15/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
01/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
27/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
11/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
07/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
31/05	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
23/05	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skövde FK vs Motala AIF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Skövde FK win (52%). Probabilities: IFK Skövde FK 52%, draw 25%, Motala AIF FK 23%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Skövde FK vs Motala AIF FK?

The model expects 2.67 goals (IFK Skövde FK 1.65 · Motala AIF FK 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Skövde FK vs Motala AIF FK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.