Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Skara vs Vänersborgs IF

Team pages: Skara · Vänersborgs IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Skara2.73

Vänersborgs IF1.06

1X2

72% 16% 12%

Skara Draw Vänersborgs IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Skara 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWLWD

Vänersborgs IF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Skara 2–1 Vänersborgs IF (3 last)

Vänersborgs IF1-2Skara
Vänersborgs IF2-4Skara
Skara1-2Vänersborgs IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skara 1568 · Vänersborgs IF 1411

	Skara	Draw	Vänersborgs IF
Our model	72%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skara (rating 1568 vs 1411).
H2H favours Skara: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skara	Vänersborgs IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.80

2 (+1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	8.50 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +21’	1.22	5.75	8.50
19:39 +7’	1.25▲	5.75	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skara 2–0–1 Vänersborgs IF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Vänersborgs IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Skara
31/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Vänersborgs IF	2-4 HT 0-3	Skara
18/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Skara	1-2 HT 1-0	Vänersborgs IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	20	17	3	0	50	15	54
2	Skara	19	12	5	2	37	21	41
3	IFK Skövde FK	20	11	5	4	37	24	38
4	Ahlafors IF	20	9	7	4	45	24	34
5	Herrestads AIF	20	8	7	5	38	35	31
6	Grebbestads IF	19	9	3	7	34	29	30
7	Stenungsunds IF	20	7	6	7	36	28	27
8	Vanersborgs FK	20	7	4	9	27	34	25
9	Motala AIF FK	20	5	7	8	28	29	22
10	IFK Kumla	20	5	6	9	20	37	21
11	IK Tord	20	2	9	9	23	35	15
12	Lidköpings FK	19	3	6	10	20	38	15
13	IF Karlstad II	20	2	7	11	22	37	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	19	2	3	14	20	51	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skara	Vänersborgs IF
IK Tord	2-1 W	0-1 L
Vanersborgs FK	4-0 W	0-2 L
Stenungsunds IF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Herrestads AIF	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Skara (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skara

WWWDWDWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
14/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
07/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
31/07	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
26/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
18/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	4-2	5	0	W
05/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
29/05	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	11	1	W

Vänersborgs IF

LLDLWDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
21/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-2	5	6	L
08/08	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/06	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
18/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-1	3-4	–	–	L
15/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
04/06	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-5	3	1	L
31/05	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-2	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skara vs Vänersborgs IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skara win (72%). Probabilities: Skara 72%, draw 16%, Vänersborgs IF 12%.

How many goals are expected in Skara vs Vänersborgs IF?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Skara 2.73 · Vänersborgs IF 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skara vs Vänersborgs IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.