Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK

Team pages: Grebbestads IF · Lidköpings FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Grebbestads IF2.17

Lidköpings FK1.33

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Grebbestads IF Draw Lidköpings FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Grebbestads IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDLDL

Lidköpings FK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLDDD

Head-to-head

Grebbestads IF 3–1–2 Lidköpings FK (6 last)

Lidköpings FK1-3Grebbestads IF
Grebbestads IF3-1Lidköpings FK
Lidköpings FK2-1Grebbestads IF
Lidköpings FK1-1Grebbestads IF
Grebbestads IF1-3Lidköpings FK
Grebbestads IF2-1Lidköpings FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grebbestads IF 1534 · Lidköpings FK 1455

	Grebbestads IF	Draw	Lidköpings FK
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grebbestads IF (rating 1534 vs 1455).
H2H favours Grebbestads IF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grebbestads IF	Lidköpings FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	3.40 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +23’	1.80	3.80	3.40
02:50 +11’	1.61▼	4.00▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grebbestads IF 3–1–2 Lidköpings FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	1-3 HT 0-1	Grebbestads IF
06/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	3-1 HT 0-1	Lidköpings FK
17/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	2-1 HT 2-0	Grebbestads IF
09/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	1-1 HT 1-0	Grebbestads IF
12/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	1-3 HT 1-2	Lidköpings FK
10/09/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	2-1 HT 0-1	Lidköpings FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	20	17	3	0	50	15	54
2	Skara	19	12	5	2	37	21	41
3	IFK Skövde FK	20	11	5	4	37	24	38
4	Ahlafors IF	20	9	7	4	45	24	34
5	Herrestads AIF	20	8	7	5	38	35	31
6	Grebbestads IF	19	9	3	7	34	29	30
7	Stenungsunds IF	20	7	6	7	36	28	27
8	Vanersborgs FK	20	7	4	9	27	34	25
9	Motala AIF FK	20	5	7	8	28	29	22
10	IFK Kumla	20	5	6	9	20	37	21
11	IK Tord	20	2	9	9	23	35	15
12	Lidköpings FK	19	3	6	10	20	38	15
13	IF Karlstad II	20	2	7	11	22	37	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	19	2	3	14	20	51	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grebbestads IF	Lidköpings FK
Husqvarna FF	2-3 L	0-0 D
Stenungsunds IF	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ahlafors IF	1-3 L	2-2 D
IFK Skövde FK	1-1 D	2-1 W
IF Karlstad II	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lidköpings FK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grebbestads IF

WLWWWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
22/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-3	4	6	L
08/08	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
18/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-3	4-3	–	–	W
12/06	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	4-0	3	3	W
05/06	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
29/05	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	3-2	12	2	W

Lidköpings FK

LWLLWDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
21/08	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-2	1	2	D
16/08	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
01/07	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
25/06	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
18/06	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
13/06	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	2-4	7	0	L
06/06	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/05	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grebbestads IF win (56%). Probabilities: Grebbestads IF 56%, draw 22%, Lidköpings FK 22%.

How many goals are expected in Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Grebbestads IF 2.17 · Lidköpings FK 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.