Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs Laholms FK

Team pages: Lunds BK · Laholms FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Lunds BK2.14

Laholms FK1.17

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Lunds BK Draw Laholms FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDWWLL

Laholms FK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLWDLL

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 0–1 Laholms FK (1 last)

Laholms FK4-3Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1504 · Laholms FK 1465

	Lunds BK	Draw	Laholms FK
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	Laholms FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.9	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:08 +10’	1.53	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 0–0–1 Laholms FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Laholms FK	4-3 HT 1-2	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	Laholms FK
Kristianstad FC	0-1 L	2-3 L
Atvidabergs FF	0-1 L	1-2 L
FC Rosengård 1917	2-0 W	2-4 L
Utsiktens BK	1-1 D	0-0 D
Ariana FC Malmo	5-2 W	2-2 D
Hässleholms IF	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lunds BK

DDLWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
19/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
11/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W
14/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D

Laholms FK

LWDLDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
20/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
16/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
12/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
04/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-4	3	5	L
30/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	3	4	D
24/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	7	5	L
15/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs Laholms FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (59%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 59%, draw 22%, Laholms FK 19%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs Laholms FK?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Lunds BK 2.14 · Laholms FK 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs Laholms FK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.