Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: FC Rosengård 1917 vs Trelleborgs FF

Team pages: FC Rosengård 1917 · Trelleborgs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

FC Rosengård 19171.63

Trelleborgs FF1.64

1X2

37% 25% 38%

FC Rosengård 1917 Draw Trelleborgs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rosengård 1917 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDDWWL

Trelleborgs FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Rosengård 1917 0–2 Trelleborgs FF (2 last)

Trelleborgs FF3-2FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19170-3Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rosengård 1917 1523 · Trelleborgs FF 1517

	FC Rosengård 1917	Draw	Trelleborgs FF
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rosengård 1917	Trelleborgs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +3’	2.40	3.60	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rosengård 1917 0–0–2 Trelleborgs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	3-2 HT 2-2	FC Rosengård 1917
18/08/21 Sweden Cup Qualification	FC Rosengård 1917	0-3 HT 0-3	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	21	12	6	3	44	24	42
2	Hässleholms IF	21	12	3	6	41	26	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	21	11	6	4	45	32	39
4	Lunds BK	21	10	8	3	44	26	38
5	FC Rosengård 1917	21	9	7	5	35	28	34
6	Tvååkers IF	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	21	8	8	5	39	31	32
8	FC Trollhättan	21	7	7	7	33	33	28
9	Jonkopings Sodra	21	7	6	8	25	20	27
10	Skövde AIK	21	6	9	6	23	29	27
11	BK Olympic	21	8	2	11	38	43	26
12	Eskilsminne IF	21	7	4	10	32	38	25
13	Kristianstad FC	21	5	6	10	25	33	21
14	Laholms FK	21	6	3	12	28	38	21
15	Angelholm	21	3	8	10	25	39	17
16	Utsiktens BK	21	1	5	15	17	54	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rosengård 1917	Trelleborgs FF
Lunds BK	0-2 L	2-2 D
FC Trollhättan	3-2 W	1-2 L
Utsiktens BK	1-1 D	2-1 W
Eskilsminne IF	0-0 D	1-3 L
Skövde AIK	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Rosengård 1917 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Rosengård 1917

WLDWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
04/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	7	5	W
29/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
22/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
16/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
02/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
27/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-3	3-3	6	3	D
18/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
14/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	5	3	W

Trelleborgs FF

WWDDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Trelleborgs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trelleborgs FF win (38%). Probabilities: FC Rosengård 1917 37%, draw 25%, Trelleborgs FF 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model expects 3.27 goals (FC Rosengård 1917 1.63 · Trelleborgs FF 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.