Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 27/08, 12:10

Prediction: Gladesville Ravens (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)

Team pages: Gladesville Ravens (W) · NWS Spirit (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Gladesville Ravens (W)1.5

NWS Spirit (W)1.92

1X2

30% 23% 47%

Gladesville Ravens (W) Draw NWS Spirit (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Gladesville Ravens (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLDDLLLL

NWS Spirit (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Gladesville Ravens (W) 2–1–3 NWS Spirit (W) (6 last)

NWS Spirit (W)3-1Gladesville Ravens (W)
NWS Spirit (W)0-0Gladesville Ravens (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)2-1NWS Spirit (W)
NWS Spirit (W)3-1Gladesville Ravens (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)3-0NWS Spirit (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)1-3NWS Spirit (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1421 · NWS Spirit (W) 1530

	Gladesville Ravens (W)	Draw	NWS Spirit (W)
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NWS Spirit (W) (rating 1421 vs 1530).
H2H favours NWS Spirit (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gladesville Ravens (W)	NWS Spirit (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.00

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
X	4.33 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.18
2	1.61 → 1.90▲	Pinn 2.08 ★

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +3’	3.80	4.33	1.61
00:50 +3’	3.00▼	4.10▼	1.90▲
06:09 +8’	2.90▼	4.00▼	1.95▲
06:58 +5’	3.00▲	4.00	1.90▼
08:00 +2’	3.10▲	4.00	1.85▼
10:00 +3’	3.00▼	4.00	1.90▲
10:59 +5’	2.63▼	3.90▼	2.10▲
12:01 +2’	3.00▲	4.00▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:53	2.90	4.09	1.77
10:03	2.76▼	4.05▼	1.84▲
11:03 +1’	2.49▼	4.02▼	2.05▲
12:02	2.56▲	4.18▲	2.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gladesville Ravens (W) 2–1–3 NWS Spirit (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	NWS Spirit (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Gladesville Ravens (W)
05/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	NWS Spirit (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Gladesville Ravens (W)
06/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	NWS Spirit (W)
28/07/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	NWS Spirit (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Gladesville Ravens (W)
28/04/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	NWS Spirit (W)
30/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	NWS Spirit (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	25	17	7	1	64	24	58
2	University NSW (W)	25	16	8	1	48	19	56
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	25	16	4	5	64	34	52
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	25	15	4	6	53	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	25	10	6	9	40	34	36
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	25	11	3	11	44	39	36
7	Manly Utd (W)	25	8	9	8	39	33	33
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	25	9	5	11	38	42	32
9	Sydney University (W)	25	8	7	10	48	45	31
10	Hills United FC (W)	25	8	3	14	32	34	27
11	NWS Spirit (W)	25	8	2	15	33	76	26
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	25	6	5	14	31	51	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	25	4	7	14	21	45	19
14	Western City Rangers (W)	25	3	2	20	29	76	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gladesville Ravens (W)	NWS Spirit (W)
Hills United FC (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
APIA Leichardt (W)	2-4 L	1-2 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	0-5 L	4-2 W
Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-1 D	4-4 D
University NSW (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Manly Utd (W)	0-1 L	3-1 W
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NWS Spirit (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gladesville Ravens (W)

WLDLDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
16/08	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
09/08	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-2	2-4	3	4	L
02/08	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-5	0-5	1	4	L
26/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
12/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
28/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
21/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	4-0	6-0	3	3	W

NWS Spirit (W)

DWLWDWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	3-1	4	0	W
15/08	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
08/08	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
02/08	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
25/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
19/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	4-2	8	2	W
05/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
27/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
21/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	4-4	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NWS Spirit (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Gladesville Ravens (W) 30%, draw 23%, NWS Spirit (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Gladesville Ravens (W) 1.5 · NWS Spirit (W) 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.