Football · Iceland Premier League · 18/07, 21:15
Prediction: Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Valur Reykjavik1.61
Fram Reykjavik2.11
1X2
Valur Reykjavik
Draw
Fram Reykjavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Valur Reykjavik
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Fram Reykjavik
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valur Reykjavik
2–4
Fram Reykjavik
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram Reykjavik (rating 1453 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Fram Reykjavik: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 2.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 3.5 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik 2–0–4 Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 28/09/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 31/08/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 02/06/25 Iceland Premier League | Valur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 18/01/25 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Valur Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 28/07/24 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Valur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 34 | 29 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 15 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 10 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 4-2 W | 6-1 W |
| Keflavik | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| IA Akranes | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-5 L | 0-5 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| KA Akureyri | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Breidablik | 3-2 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fram Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 16/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 22/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fram Reykjavik win (49%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik 29%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 49%.
How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Valur Reykjavik 1.61 · Fram Reykjavik 2.11), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.