Football · Iceland Premier League · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Thor Akureyri1.62
Vikingur Reykjavik2.82
1X2
Thor Akureyri
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Thor Akureyri
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Thor Akureyri
0–5
Vikingur Reykjavik
(5 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1392 vs 1627).
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 5-0-0.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thor Akureyri | Vikingur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 4.6 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thor Akureyri 0–0–5 Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 05/06/23 Iceland Cup | Thor Akureyri | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 12/03/21 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 31/08/14 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 09/06/14 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Thor Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 34 | 29 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 15 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 10 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thor Akureyri | Vikingur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-6 L | 5-0 W |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-4 L | 5-1 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Stjarnan | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| IA Akranes | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 7 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Gyori ETO UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Reykjavik win (62%). Probabilities: Thor Akureyri 20%, draw 18%, Vikingur Reykjavik 62%.
How many goals are expected in Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Thor Akureyri 1.62 · Vikingur Reykjavik 2.82), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.