Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Levanger vs Grorud

Team pages: Levanger · Grorud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Levanger1.95

Grorud1.24

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Levanger Draw Grorud

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Levanger 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWWW

Grorud 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Levanger 1–1–1 Grorud (3 last)

Grorud2-3Levanger
Grorud5-1Levanger
Levanger2-2Grorud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levanger 1580 · Grorud 1567

	Levanger	Draw	Grorud
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levanger	Grorud
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.9	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.4	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +9’	1.61	4.10	3.80
18:41 +31’	1.67▲	4.00▼	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +11’	1.77	3.74	3.55
14:42 +110’	1.79▲	3.84▲	3.64▲
16:54 +137’	1.83▲	3.81▼	3.54▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanger 1–1–1 Grorud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	2-3 HT 1-1	Levanger
06/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	5-1 HT 3-0	Levanger
27/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	2-2 HT 1-1	Grorud

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	20	15	3	2	48	16	48
2	Levanger	20	15	0	5	51	21	45
3	Kjelsås	20	14	1	5	47	29	43
4	Honefoss	20	13	3	4	51	28	42
5	Grorud	20	11	4	5	34	20	37
6	Lørenskog	20	9	3	8	29	32	30
7	Tromsdalen	20	9	2	9	34	34	29
8	Junkeren	20	8	4	8	29	33	28
9	Stjørdals/Blink	20	8	3	9	34	38	27
10	Rana FK	20	7	3	10	34	38	24
11	Skeid	20	5	2	13	27	43	17
12	Follo	20	3	4	13	23	43	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	20	3	1	16	25	67	10
14	Trygg/Lade	20	2	3	15	23	47	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levanger	Grorud
Trygg/Lade	1-0 W	1-0 W
Lørenskog	5-0 W	0-1 L
Skeid	5-0 W	5-1 W
Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 L	0-1 L
Kjelsås	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levanger

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
12/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	5-2	5	1	W
06/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
30/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W

Grorud

WLLWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	3-2	10	7	W
16/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
06/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-1	4-2	6	3	W
30/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/07	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levanger vs Grorud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levanger win (53%). Probabilities: Levanger 53%, draw 23%, Grorud 24%.

How many goals are expected in Levanger vs Grorud?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Levanger 1.95 · Grorud 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Levanger vs Grorud?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.