Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Grorud vs Follo

Team pages: Grorud · Follo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Grorud2.92

Follo1.06

1X2

74% 15% 10%

Grorud Draw Follo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Grorud 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWWWW

Follo 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Grorud 5–1–0 Follo (6 last)

Follo2-3Grorud
Follo1-2Grorud
Grorud3-2Follo
Follo2-2Grorud
Grorud5-2Follo
Grorud3-0Follo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grorud (rating 1632 vs 1409).
H2H favours Grorud: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grorud	Follo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.7	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.81

Under 3.751.97

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Pinn 1.20
X	6.52 → 6.52	Pinn 6.52
2	9.21 → 9.21	Pinn 9.21

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +30’	1.20	6.52	9.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grorud 5–1–0 Follo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Follo	2-3 HT 1-2	Grorud
12/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Follo	1-2 HT 0-0	Grorud
25/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	3-2 HT 1-0	Follo
26/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Follo	2-2 HT 0-0	Grorud
22/06/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	5-2 HT 2-0	Follo
30/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Grorud	3-0 HT 1-0	Follo

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	23	17	3	3	55	20	54
2	Kjelsås	23	16	2	5	53	32	50
3	Levanger	23	15	1	7	53	27	46
4	Honefoss	23	14	4	5	56	33	46
5	Grorud	23	14	4	5	43	21	46
6	Tromsdalen	23	11	2	10	40	38	35
7	Lørenskog	23	10	4	9	36	40	34
8	Stjørdals/Blink	23	10	3	10	38	39	33
9	Junkeren	23	9	4	10	32	39	31
10	Rana FK	23	9	3	11	38	41	30
11	Skeid	23	6	2	15	33	52	20
12	Follo	23	3	5	15	27	50	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	23	4	1	18	30	74	13
14	Trygg/Lade	23	2	4	17	28	56	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grorud	Follo
Junkeren	3-1 W	1-4 L
Levanger	2-0 W	2-5 L
Kjelsås	3-2 W	2-2 D
Tromsdalen	2-0 W	1-0 W
Honefoss	1-1 D	1-2 L
Rana FK	4-2 W	3-3 D
Eidsvold TF	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grorud

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
03/10	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-0	0	1	W
27/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	3-2	10	7	W
16/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
06/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-1	4-2	6	3	W
30/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W

Follo

LLDLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
03/10	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
26/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
19/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-5	7	1	L
05/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
30/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
26/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-3	7	6	L
08/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-4	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grorud vs Follo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grorud win (74%). Probabilities: Grorud 74%, draw 15%, Follo 10%.

How many goals are expected in Grorud vs Follo?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Grorud 2.92 · Follo 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grorud vs Follo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.