Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stjørdals/Blink vs Grorud

Team pages: Stjørdals/Blink · Grorud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Stjørdals/Blink1.37

Grorud1.58

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Stjørdals/Blink Draw Grorud

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stjørdals/Blink 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWLW

Grorud 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Stjørdals/Blink 3–2–1 Grorud (6 last)

Grorud0-1Stjørdals/Blink
Grorud5-3Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink1-0Grorud
Grorud1-1Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink2-2Grorud
Stjørdals/Blink1-0Grorud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stjørdals/Blink 1539 · Grorud 1558

	Stjørdals/Blink	Draw	Grorud
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stjørdals/Blink: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stjørdals/Blink	Grorud
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.63

X4.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:35 +3’	2.63	4.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:37 +1’	2.49	3.93	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjørdals/Blink 3–2–1 Grorud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	0-1 HT 0-0	Stjørdals/Blink
24/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	5-3 HT 3-1	Stjørdals/Blink
15/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-0 HT 1-0	Grorud
24/08/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	1-1 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink
20/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	2-2 HT 2-1	Grorud
04/08/22 Norway Division 1	Stjørdals/Blink	1-0 HT 0-0	Grorud

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	25	19	3	3	62	23	60
2	Kjelsås	24	17	2	5	56	34	53
3	Levanger	24	16	1	7	56	28	49
4	Honefoss	25	15	4	6	59	38	49
5	Grorud	24	14	4	6	44	24	46
6	Lørenskog	25	11	4	10	42	43	37
7	Stjørdals/Blink	24	11	3	10	42	41	36
8	Tromsdalen	24	11	2	11	42	41	35
9	Junkeren	24	9	4	11	33	41	31
10	Rana FK	24	9	3	12	39	44	30
11	Skeid	25	7	2	16	37	54	23
12	Follo	25	5	5	15	32	51	20
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	25	4	1	20	30	82	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	2	4	18	30	60	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stjørdals/Blink	Grorud
Trygg/Lade	4-2 W	1-0 W
Tromsdalen	0-1 L	2-0 W
Follo	1-0 W	1-3 L
Lørenskog	2-0 W	4-0 W
Kjelsås	0-5 L	3-2 W
Eidsvold TF	1-3 L	0-0 D
Junkeren	2-2 D	3-1 W
Honefoss	4-2 W	1-1 D
Levanger	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stjørdals/Blink

WWDLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	4-2	5	2	W
11/10	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
03/10	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
26/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
13/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
05/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
30/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-2	7	1	D
16/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	2	2	W
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W

Grorud

WDWDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	4	8	L
11/10	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
03/10	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-0	0	1	W
27/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	3-2	10	7	W
16/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
06/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-1	4-2	6	3	W
30/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stjørdals/Blink vs Grorud?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grorud win (43%). Probabilities: Stjørdals/Blink 33%, draw 24%, Grorud 43%.

How many goals are expected in Stjørdals/Blink vs Grorud?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Stjørdals/Blink 1.37 · Grorud 1.58), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stjørdals/Blink vs Grorud?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.