Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Junkeren vs Levanger

Team pages: Junkeren · Levanger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Junkeren1.21

Levanger2.5

1X2

16% 19% 65%

Junkeren Draw Levanger

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Junkeren 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWLWLL

Levanger 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLDW

Head-to-head

Junkeren 0–1–3 Levanger (4 last)

Levanger3-0Junkeren
Levanger3-3Junkeren
Junkeren1-4Levanger
Junkeren0-3Levanger

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Junkeren 1474 · Levanger 1543

	Junkeren	Draw	Levanger
Our model	16%	19%	65%
Market	16%	19%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1474 vs 1543).
H2H favours Levanger: 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Junkeren	Levanger
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.6	2.8 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.75

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.10 ★
2	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:45 +6’	5.50	4.75	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:28 +22’	4.97	4.94	1.45
19:26 +153’	5.28▲	5.07▲	1.42▼
22:54 +11’	5.29▲	5.10▲	1.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Junkeren 0–1–3 Levanger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	3-0 HT 1-0	Junkeren
06/08/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	3-3 HT 1-1	Junkeren
29/04/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	1-4 HT 1-2	Levanger
02/05/18 Norway Cup	Junkeren	0-3 HT 0-1	Levanger

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	25	19	3	3	62	23	60
2	Kjelsås	24	17	2	5	56	34	53
3	Levanger	24	16	1	7	56	28	49
4	Honefoss	25	15	4	6	59	38	49
5	Grorud	24	14	4	6	44	24	46
6	Lørenskog	25	11	4	10	42	43	37
7	Stjørdals/Blink	24	11	3	10	42	41	36
8	Tromsdalen	24	11	2	11	42	41	35
9	Junkeren	24	9	4	11	33	41	31
10	Rana FK	24	9	3	12	39	44	30
11	Skeid	25	7	2	16	37	54	23
12	Follo	25	5	5	15	32	51	20
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	25	4	1	20	30	82	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	2	4	18	30	60	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Junkeren	Levanger
Honefoss	1-2 L	0-0 D
Grorud	1-3 L	0-2 L
Trygg/Lade	2-1 W	1-0 W
Rana FK	0-2 L	3-1 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	3-2 W	5-0 W
Skeid	1-0 W	5-0 W
Lørenskog	1-1 D	5-0 W
Stjørdals/Blink	2-2 D	1-2 L
Follo	4-1 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Junkeren

WLDDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/10	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-3	3	4	L
04/10	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
26/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-2	1	4	W
13/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
30/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
16/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
08/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	5	3	W

Levanger

LWWWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	7	2	W
11/10	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/10	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
27/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
20/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
12/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	5-2	5	1	W
06/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
30/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Junkeren vs Levanger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Levanger win (65%). Probabilities: Junkeren 16%, draw 19%, Levanger 65%.

How many goals are expected in Junkeren vs Levanger?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Junkeren 1.21 · Levanger 2.5), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Junkeren vs Levanger?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.