Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Ullensaker/Kisa vs Lørenskog

Team pages: Ullensaker/Kisa · Lørenskog

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Ullensaker/Kisa1.71

Lørenskog2.5

1X2

25% 21% 54%

Ullensaker/Kisa Draw Lørenskog

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ullensaker/Kisa 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLWL

Lørenskog 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Ullensaker/Kisa 3–1 Lørenskog (4 last)

Lørenskog5-1Ullensaker/Kisa
Lørenskog1-2Ullensaker/Kisa
Lørenskog1-2Ullensaker/Kisa
Lørenskog1-3Ullensaker/Kisa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ullensaker/Kisa 1400 · Lørenskog 1439

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Draw	Lørenskog
Our model	25%	20%	54%
Market	25%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ullensaker/Kisa: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Lørenskog
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.8	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	2.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.20

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 2.04 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +16’	3.60	4.20	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +8’	2.78	3.99	2.08
14:59 +58’	2.85▲	3.97▼	2.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ullensaker/Kisa 3–0–1 Lørenskog

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Lørenskog	5-1 HT 2-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
10/04/24 Norway Cup	Lørenskog	1-2 HT 0-1	Ullensaker/Kisa
17/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Lørenskog	1-2 HT 1-1	Ullensaker/Kisa
22/05/19 Norway Cup	Lørenskog	1-3 HT 0-3	Ullensaker/Kisa

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	24	18	3	3	58	22	57
2	Kjelsås	24	17	2	5	56	34	53
3	Levanger	24	16	1	7	56	28	49
4	Honefoss	24	15	4	5	58	34	49
5	Grorud	24	14	4	6	44	24	46
6	Stjørdals/Blink	24	11	3	10	42	41	36
7	Tromsdalen	24	11	2	11	42	41	35
8	Lørenskog	24	10	4	10	38	43	34
9	Junkeren	24	9	4	11	33	41	31
10	Rana FK	24	9	3	12	39	44	30
11	Skeid	24	7	2	15	37	52	23
12	Follo	24	4	5	15	30	51	17
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	24	4	1	19	30	78	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	2	4	18	30	60	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ullensaker/Kisa	Lørenskog
Skeid	0-4 L	4-1 W
Kjelsås	1-2 L	2-3 L
Stjørdals/Blink	0-3 L	0-2 L
Junkeren	2-3 L	1-1 D
Eidsvold TF	1-3 L	1-7 L
Levanger	0-5 L	0-5 L
Rana FK	1-2 L	1-0 W
Trygg/Lade	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lørenskog (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ullensaker/Kisa

LDLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-4	6	4	L
10/10	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
03/10	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
26/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
20/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
11/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
06/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
30/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
08/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-9	–	–	L

Lørenskog

LLLDWLWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	6	7	L
11/10	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	2	2	D
03/10	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	6	1	L
27/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
13/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	2	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Lørenskog?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lørenskog win (54%). Probabilities: Ullensaker/Kisa 25%, draw 21%, Lørenskog 54%.

How many goals are expected in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Lørenskog?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Ullensaker/Kisa 1.71 · Lørenskog 2.5), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Lørenskog?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.