Prediction: Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Nordstrand1.48
Gamle Oslo2.91
1X2
16% 18% 66%
Nordstrand Draw Gamle Oslo
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Nordstrand 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWDLLW
Gamle Oslo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWLLLW
Head-to-head
Nordstrand 0–2–0 Gamle Oslo (2 last)
  • Nordstrand1-1Gamle Oslo
  • Gamle Oslo2-2Nordstrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nordstrand 1489 · Gamle Oslo 1538
NordstrandDrawGamle Oslo
Our model17%17%66%
Market16%18%66%
Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamle Oslo (rating 1489 vs 1538).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NordstrandGamle Oslo
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 23.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.91.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.92.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 04 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nordstrand 020 Gamle Oslo

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/09/24
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Nordstrand1-1
HT 1-0
Gamle Oslo
20/04/24
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Gamle Oslo2-2
HT 2-1
Nordstrand

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 121011 401331
2 IF Ready 12741 311525
3 Heming 12723 261723
4 Gamle Oslo 12714 432522
5 Baerum 12714 372122
6 Valerenga 2 12714 263122
7 FK Union Carl Berner 12705 211521
8 Frigg 12624 292220
9 Nordstrand 12417 192613
10 KFUM 2 12327 213611
11 Ullern 12318 203010
12 Konnerud 12309 18329
13 Grei 12219 21427
14 Lokomotiv Oslo 12219 18457

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNordstrandGamle Oslo
Grei 5-1 W 3-1 W
Asker 0-2 L 4-0 W
Valerenga 2 2-3 L 8-3 W
Frigg 2-1 W 1-3 L
Konnerud 2-0 W 4-2 W
IF Ready 0-3 L 3-3 D
FK Union Carl Berner 2-1 W 5-1 W
Lokomotiv Oslo 1-2 L 6-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gamle Oslo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nordstrand

LLWLWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-1 5-1 43 W
20/06 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-2 23 L
06/06 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 2-3 35 L
30/05 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 2-2 55 D
23/05 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 2-1 81 W
16/05 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-0 131 W
09/05 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-3 45 L
02/05 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 2-1 34 W
25/04 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 1-2 63 L
18/04 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-4 1-5 12 L

Gamle Oslo

DWWWWWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 6-1 33 W
20/06 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 0-1 510 L
13/06 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-3 74 L
30/05 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-3 1-3 84 L
25/05 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 4-0 13 W
14/05 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 3-1 73 W
09/05 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 4-2 15 W
02/05 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
5-1 8-3 52 W
25/04 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 5-1 12 W
18/04 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 3-3 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gamle Oslo win (66%). Probabilities: Nordstrand 16%, draw 18%, Gamle Oslo 66%.

How many goals are expected in Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Nordstrand 1.48 · Gamle Oslo 2.91), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.