Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.51Total

Lokomotiv Oslo2.17

KFUM 22.34

1X2

37% 21% 43%

Lokomotiv Oslo Draw KFUM 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Oslo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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KFUM 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Oslo 1–1–0 KFUM 2 (2 last)

KFUM 21-1Lokomotiv Oslo
Lokomotiv Oslo5-0KFUM 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Oslo 1428 · KFUM 2 1495

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Draw	KFUM 2
Our model	37%	20%	43%
Market	37%	21%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KFUM 2 (rating 1428 vs 1495).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Oslo	KFUM 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3.7	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.33

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.80

Under 4.252.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +4’	2.45	4.33	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Oslo 1–1–0 KFUM 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/10/18 Norway Division 3 Group 1	KFUM 2	1-1 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Oslo
02/07/18 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Lokomotiv Oslo	5-0 HT 3-0	KFUM 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	12	10	1	1	40	13	31
2	Heming	13	8	2	3	29	18	26
3	Gamle Oslo	13	8	1	4	45	26	25
4	Baerum	13	8	1	4	43	24	25
5	IF Ready	12	7	4	1	31	15	25
6	Valerenga 2	13	7	1	5	29	37	22
7	FK Union Carl Berner	12	7	0	5	21	15	21
8	Frigg	12	6	2	4	29	22	20
9	Nordstrand	13	4	1	8	20	28	13
10	KFUM 2	12	3	2	7	21	36	11
11	Ullern	13	3	1	9	21	33	10
12	Grei	13	3	1	9	24	43	10
13	Konnerud	13	3	0	10	19	35	9
14	Lokomotiv Oslo	12	2	1	9	18	45	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Oslo	KFUM 2
Frigg	1-3 L	3-4 L
Valerenga 2	0-1 L	2-1 W
Konnerud	3-4 L	4-2 W
FK Union Carl Berner	0-8 L	0-1 L
Grei	4-4 D	3-2 W
Baerum	1-2 L	1-4 L
Nordstrand	2-1 W	2-2 D
Ullern	5-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KFUM 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Oslo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-6	4	3	L
20/06	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
13/06	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	0-6	0	2	L
31/05	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
25/05	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	3-4	5	3	L
14/05	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-5	0-8	2	2	L
09/05	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-4	6	3	D
02/05	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	1	6	L
25/04	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
18/04	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	5-2	9	5	W

KFUM 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
20/06	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	3-2	5	3	W
14/06	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
30/05	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
23/05	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	3-2	6	9	W
15/05	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
11/05	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	3-4	4	3	L
04/05	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	4-2	4	2	W
27/04	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
20/04	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KFUM 2 win (43%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 37%, draw 21%, KFUM 2 43%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM 2?

The model expects 4.51 goals (Lokomotiv Oslo 2.17 · KFUM 2 2.34), with a 53% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM 2?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.