Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 25/07, 14:00

Prediction: Levanger vs Ullensaker/Kisa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Levanger2.8

Ullensaker/Kisa1.14

1X2

71% 17% 12%

Levanger Draw Ullensaker/Kisa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Levanger 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWW

Ullensaker/Kisa 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Levanger 3–2–1 Ullensaker/Kisa (6 last)

Levanger1-1Ullensaker/Kisa
Ullensaker/Kisa3-3Levanger
Ullensaker/Kisa0-5Levanger

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levanger 1582 · Ullensaker/Kisa 1425

	Levanger	Draw	Ullensaker/Kisa
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1582 vs 1425).
H2H favours Levanger: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levanger	Ullensaker/Kisa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.1	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.50

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.81

Under 3.751.99

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Pinn 1.28
X	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 6.25 ★
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +7’	1.27	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:13	1.28	6.25	7.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanger 3–2–1 Ullensaker/Kisa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-1 HT 1-1	Ullensaker/Kisa
03/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	3-3 HT 3-1	Levanger
04/11/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	0-5 HT 0-3	Levanger
16/04/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	2-0 HT 0-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
22/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	4-0 HT 0-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
26/06/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	2-1 HT 1-1	Levanger

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kjelsås	12	9	1	2	27	17	28
2	Levanger	12	9	0	3	25	13	27
3	Eidsvold TF	12	8	2	2	27	11	26
4	Lørenskog	12	8	2	2	25	11	26
5	Honefoss	12	7	2	3	27	17	23
6	Grorud	12	6	2	4	18	13	20
7	Tromsdalen	12	5	1	6	20	26	16
8	Rana FK	11	4	2	5	18	20	14
9	Junkeren	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
10	Skeid	12	4	1	7	20	19	13
11	Stjørdals/Blink	12	3	2	7	18	23	11
12	Ullensaker/Kisa	12	3	0	9	18	39	9
13	Follo	11	2	2	7	13	23	8
14	Trygg/Lade	12	1	1	10	15	34	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levanger	Ullensaker/Kisa
Follo	2-0 W	2-1 W
Eidsvold TF	3-1 W	2-5 L
Junkeren	3-0 W	0-3 L
Lørenskog	0-1 L	1-5 L
Trygg/Lade	3-0 W	2-4 L
Grorud	3-2 W	2-1 W
Honefoss	1-0 W	0-3 L
Rana FK	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levanger

WWLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
16/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
10/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	3	3	W
03/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
26/04	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
19/04	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	4	5	W

Ullensaker/Kisa

LLLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
20/06	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
13/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	7	W
30/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
25/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	7	4	L
15/05	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	2-5	5	4	L
10/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	2-4	6	2	L
02/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	3	2	L
25/04	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-5	4	3	L
18/04	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levanger vs Ullensaker/Kisa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levanger win (71%). Probabilities: Levanger 71%, draw 17%, Ullensaker/Kisa 12%.

How many goals are expected in Levanger vs Ullensaker/Kisa?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Levanger 2.8 · Ullensaker/Kisa 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Levanger vs Ullensaker/Kisa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.