Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: Kjelsås vs Levanger

Team pages: Kjelsås · Levanger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Kjelsås1.68

Levanger1.41

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Kjelsås Draw Levanger

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kjelsås 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWWLW

Levanger 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Kjelsås 3–2–1 Levanger (6 last)

Levanger1-2Kjelsås
Kjelsås1-0Levanger
Levanger1-1Kjelsås
Kjelsås1-1Levanger
Levanger1-0Kjelsås
Levanger1-2Kjelsås

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kjelsås 1568 · Levanger 1574

	Kjelsås	Draw	Levanger
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kjelsås: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kjelsås	Levanger
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	2.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.25 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +4’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:43	2.25	3.50	2.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kjelsås 3–2–1 Levanger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-2 HT 0-1	Kjelsås
27/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	1-0 HT 0-0	Levanger
31/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-1 HT 1-1	Kjelsås
01/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	1-1 HT 0-1	Levanger
15/05/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-0 HT 0-0	Kjelsås
06/11/21 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-2 HT 0-2	Kjelsås

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kjelsås	13	10	1	2	30	19	31
2	Levanger	13	10	0	3	28	13	30
3	Eidsvold TF	13	9	2	2	29	12	29
4	Lørenskog	13	8	2	3	25	12	26
5	Honefoss	13	8	2	3	30	18	26
6	Grorud	13	6	2	5	18	14	20
7	Junkeren	13	5	2	6	17	21	17
8	Tromsdalen	13	5	2	6	20	26	17
9	Rana FK	12	4	2	6	20	23	14
10	Stjørdals/Blink	13	4	2	7	19	23	14
11	Skeid	13	4	1	8	21	22	13
12	Follo	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	13	3	0	10	18	42	9
14	Trygg/Lade	13	1	1	11	16	36	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kjelsås	Levanger
Honefoss	1-3 L	1-0 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	3-0 W	3-0 W
Follo	4-1 W	2-0 W
Eidsvold TF	0-4 L	3-1 W
Skeid	1-0 W	2-1 W
Junkeren	3-2 W	3-0 W
Lørenskog	4-1 W	0-1 L
Trygg/Lade	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kjelsås

WWWWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
27/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
20/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
30/05	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
16/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-2	9	2	W
02/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	4-1	4	7	W
25/04	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	1	3	W

Levanger

WLWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
16/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
10/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	3	3	W
03/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
26/04	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kjelsås vs Levanger?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kjelsås win (43%). Probabilities: Kjelsås 43%, draw 25%, Levanger 32%.

How many goals are expected in Kjelsås vs Levanger?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Kjelsås 1.68 · Levanger 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kjelsås vs Levanger?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.