Prediction: Follo vs Trygg/Lade

Team pages: Follo · Trygg/Lade

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Follo1.96
Trygg/Lade1.42
1X2
50% 23% 27%
Follo Draw Trygg/Lade
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Follo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLLLD
Trygg/Lade 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Follo 0–1–0 Trygg/Lade (1 last)
  • Trygg/Lade2-2Follo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo 1429 · Trygg/Lade 1398
FolloDrawTrygg/Lade
Our model49%24%27%
Market50%22%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FolloTrygg/Lade
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.91.2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.91.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.32.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 010 Trygg/Lade

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Norway Division 2 Group 2
Trygg/Lade2-2
HT 1-1
Follo

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kjelsås 131012 301931
2 Levanger 131003 281330
3 Eidsvold TF 13922 291229
4 Lørenskog 13823 251226
5 Honefoss 13823 301826
6 Grorud 13625 181420
7 Junkeren 13526 172117
8 Tromsdalen 13526 202617
9 Rana FK 12426 202314
10 Stjørdals/Blink 13427 192314
11 Skeid 13418 212213
12 Follo 12237 13239
13 Ullensaker/Kisa 133010 18429
14 Trygg/Lade 131111 16364

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFolloTrygg/Lade
Tromsdalen 0-0 D 1-2 L
Levanger 0-2 L 0-3 L
Kjelsås 1-4 L 1-3 L
Ullensaker/Kisa 1-2 L 4-2 W
Skeid 0-2 L 1-7 L
Lørenskog 0-1 L 1-4 L
Eidsvold TF 1-4 L 1-2 L
Stjørdals/Blink 2-1 W 1-2 L
Grorud 2-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 7 L 1 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Follo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo

LWWLLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Tromsdalen
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 0-0 D
28/06 Levanger
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 0-2 76 L
12/06 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-3 1-4 42 L
30/05 Ullensaker/Kisa
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-2 67 L
23/05 Skeid
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-2 0-2 65 L
16/05 Lørenskog
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 0-1 56 L
09/05 Eidsvold TF
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-2 1-4 23 L
03/05 Junkeren
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 2-0 310 W
25/04 Stjørdals/Blink
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-1 2-1 44 W
18/04 Grorud
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-2 2-3 76 L

Trygg/Lade

LLWLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Eidsvold TF
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-2 21 L
28/06 Skeid
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-2 1-7 12 L
21/06 Lørenskog
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-2 1-4 86 L
14/06 Stjørdals/Blink
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-2 22 L
31/05 Grorud
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-2 31 L
24/05 Tromsdalen
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-2 1-2 95 L
16/05 Levanger
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-3 0-3 63 L
10/05 Ullensaker/Kisa
Norway Division 2 Group 2
3-0 4-2 22 W
03/05 Honefoss
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-3 42 L
25/04 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-1 1-3 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo vs Trygg/Lade?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Follo win (50%). Probabilities: Follo 50%, draw 23%, Trygg/Lade 27%.

How many goals are expected in Follo vs Trygg/Lade?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Follo 1.96 · Trygg/Lade 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Follo vs Trygg/Lade?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.