Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: Eidsvold TF vs Junkeren

Team pages: Eidsvold TF · Junkeren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Eidsvold TF2.64

Junkeren1.02

1X2

72% 17% 12%

Eidsvold TF Draw Junkeren

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eidsvold TF 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWW

Junkeren 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Eidsvold TF 2–1 Junkeren (3 last)

Junkeren0-1Eidsvold TF
Junkeren3-1Eidsvold TF
Eidsvold TF4-2Junkeren

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1572 · Junkeren 1494

	Eidsvold TF	Draw	Junkeren
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eidsvold TF (rating 1572 vs 1494).
H2H favours Eidsvold TF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eidsvold TF	Junkeren
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 6.06
2	7.50 → 7.50	Pinn 8.34 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:54 +2’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:45	1.25	6.06	8.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 2–0–1 Junkeren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	0-1 HT 0-0	Eidsvold TF
05/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	3-1 HT 1-1	Eidsvold TF
21/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Eidsvold TF	4-2 HT 1-1	Junkeren

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kjelsås	13	10	1	2	30	19	31
2	Levanger	13	10	0	3	28	13	30
3	Eidsvold TF	13	9	2	2	29	12	29
4	Lørenskog	13	8	2	3	25	12	26
5	Honefoss	13	8	2	3	30	18	26
6	Grorud	13	6	2	5	18	14	20
7	Junkeren	13	5	2	6	17	21	17
8	Tromsdalen	13	5	2	6	20	26	17
9	Rana FK	12	4	2	6	20	23	14
10	Stjørdals/Blink	13	4	2	7	19	23	14
11	Skeid	13	4	1	8	21	22	13
12	Follo	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	13	3	0	10	18	42	9
14	Trygg/Lade	13	1	1	11	16	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eidsvold TF	Junkeren
Honefoss	1-2 L	4-3 W
Levanger	1-3 L	0-3 L
Kjelsås	4-0 W	2-3 L
Rana FK	4-1 W	2-1 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	5-2 W	3-0 W
Follo	4-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eidsvold TF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eidsvold TF

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-1	9	1	W
26/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
21/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
14/06	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
30/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
25/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	11	1	W
15/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-2	4	4	W
09/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	4-1	3	3	W
02/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	10	2	W

Junkeren

LLLWWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
28/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
21/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
14/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
31/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
25/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	2	4	W
16/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
09/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
03/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
25/04	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eidsvold TF vs Junkeren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eidsvold TF win (72%). Probabilities: Eidsvold TF 72%, draw 17%, Junkeren 12%.

How many goals are expected in Eidsvold TF vs Junkeren?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Eidsvold TF 2.64 · Junkeren 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eidsvold TF vs Junkeren?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.