Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 25/07, 14:30

Prediction: Grorud vs Stjørdals/Blink

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Grorud2.16

Stjørdals/Blink1.36

1X2

55% 23% 23%

Grorud Draw Stjørdals/Blink

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Grorud 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWLWL

Stjørdals/Blink 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLWWD

Head-to-head

Grorud 1–2–3 Stjørdals/Blink (6 last)

Grorud5-3Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink1-0Grorud
Grorud1-1Stjørdals/Blink

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grorud 1541 · Stjørdals/Blink 1472

	Grorud	Draw	Stjørdals/Blink
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grorud (rating 1541 vs 1472).
H2H favours Stjørdals/Blink: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grorud	Stjørdals/Blink
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.87

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.17
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.33 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +2’	1.65	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +1’	1.68	4.11	4.19
16:11 +1’	1.65▼	4.17▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grorud 1–2–3 Stjørdals/Blink

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	5-3 HT 3-1	Stjørdals/Blink
15/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-0 HT 1-0	Grorud
24/08/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	1-1 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink
20/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	2-2 HT 2-1	Grorud
04/08/22 Norway Division 1	Stjørdals/Blink	1-0 HT 0-0	Grorud
30/05/22 Norway Division 1	Grorud	1-2 HT 1-1	Stjørdals/Blink

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kjelsås	12	9	1	2	27	17	28
2	Levanger	12	9	0	3	25	13	27
3	Eidsvold TF	12	8	2	2	27	11	26
4	Lørenskog	12	8	2	2	25	11	26
5	Honefoss	12	7	2	3	27	17	23
6	Grorud	12	6	2	4	18	13	20
7	Tromsdalen	12	5	1	6	20	26	16
8	Rana FK	11	4	2	5	18	20	14
9	Junkeren	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
10	Skeid	12	4	1	7	20	19	13
11	Stjørdals/Blink	12	3	2	7	18	23	11
12	Ullensaker/Kisa	12	3	0	9	18	39	9
13	Follo	11	2	2	7	13	23	8
14	Trygg/Lade	12	1	1	10	15	34	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grorud	Stjørdals/Blink
Junkeren	3-0 W	1-1 D
Ullensaker/Kisa	1-2 L	3-2 W
Trygg/Lade	2-1 W	2-1 W
Honefoss	3-2 W	2-3 L
Tromsdalen	2-0 W	4-2 W
Rana FK	0-0 D	2-3 L
Skeid	1-0 W	0-1 L
Follo	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grorud

WWDLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
21/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
13/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
31/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
23/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
14/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
10/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
02/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
24/04	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
18/04	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-2	7	6	W

Stjørdals/Blink

LLWLLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	10	2	W
31/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
14/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	4	L
09/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-2	2	2	W
25/04	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
19/04	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grorud vs Stjørdals/Blink?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grorud win (55%). Probabilities: Grorud 55%, draw 23%, Stjørdals/Blink 23%.

How many goals are expected in Grorud vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Grorud 2.16 · Stjørdals/Blink 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Grorud vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.