Prediction: Ullern vs Heming
| Ullern | Draw | Heming | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 31% | 21% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heming (rating 1446 vs 1545).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ullern | Heming | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | IF Ready | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Heming | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Gamle Oslo | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Baerum | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 21 | 22 |
| 6 | Valerenga 2 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Union Carl Berner | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Frigg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 20 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 13 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 11 |
| 11 | Ullern | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 10 |
| 12 | Konnerud | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 9 |
| 13 | Grei | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 7 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ullern | Heming |
|---|---|---|
| Asker | 2-3 L | 0-5 L |
| KFUM 2 | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gamle Oslo | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Union Carl Berner | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Frigg | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Valerenga 2 | 1-3 L | 6-1 W |
| IF Ready | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Grei | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Heming (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ullern
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Christiania BK Norway Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Heming
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Lommedalen Norway Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ullern vs Heming?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Heming win (48%). Probabilities: Ullern 30%, draw 22%, Heming 48%.
How many goals are expected in Ullern vs Heming?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Ullern 1.66 · Heming 2.1), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ullern vs Heming?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.