Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 25/07, 13:00
Prediction: Grei vs Konnerud
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.4Total
Grei2.24
Konnerud2.16
1X2
Grei
Draw
Konnerud
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Grei
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Konnerud
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grei 1434 · Konnerud 1420
| Grei | Draw | Konnerud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 21% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grei | Konnerud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 3.5 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | IF Ready | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Heming | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Gamle Oslo | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Baerum | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 21 | 22 |
| 6 | Valerenga 2 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Union Carl Berner | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Frigg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 20 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 13 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 11 |
| 11 | Ullern | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 10 |
| 12 | Konnerud | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 9 |
| 13 | Grei | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 7 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grei | Konnerud |
|---|---|---|
| Nordstrand | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Union Carl Berner | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| IF Ready | 3-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Baerum | 0-5 L | 2-7 L |
| KFUM 2 | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Gamle Oslo | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Lokomotiv Oslo | 4-4 D | 4-3 W |
| Heming | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Ullern | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 8 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Holmlia Norway Cup |
1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 14/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
Konnerud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grei vs Konnerud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grei win (41%). Probabilities: Grei 41%, draw 21%, Konnerud 38%.
How many goals are expected in Grei vs Konnerud?
The model expects 4.4 goals (Grei 2.24 · Konnerud 2.16), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Grei vs Konnerud?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.