Prediction: FK Union Carl Berner vs Asker

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
FK Union Carl Berner1.35
Asker2.28
1X2
22% 20% 58%
FK Union Carl Berner Draw Asker
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
FK Union Carl Berner 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
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Asker 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Union Carl Berner 1530 · Asker 1584
FK Union Carl BernerDrawAsker
Our model21%21%57%
Market22%19%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1530 vs 1584).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Union Carl BernerAsker
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.43.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.71.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.42.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 121011 401331
2 Heming 13823 291826
3 Gamle Oslo 13814 452625
4 Baerum 13814 432425
5 IF Ready 12741 311525
6 Valerenga 2 13715 293722
7 FK Union Carl Berner 12705 211521
8 Frigg 12624 292220
9 Nordstrand 13418 202813
10 KFUM 2 12327 213611
11 Ullern 13319 213310
12 Grei 13319 244310
13 Konnerud 133010 19359
14 Lokomotiv Oslo 12219 18457

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Union Carl BernerAsker
Valerenga 2 1-2 L 4-1 W
Grei 2-1 W 3-0 W
IF Ready 2-2 D 2-2 D
Heming 0-2 L 5-0 W
Ullern 1-0 W 3-2 W
Lokomotiv Oslo 8-0 W 6-0 W
Baerum 2-0 W 4-2 W
Nordstrand 1-2 L 2-0 W
Gamle Oslo 1-5 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 4 L 7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Union Carl Berner

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 1-2 54 L
20/06 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 2-1 73 W
13/06 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 1-0 W
07/06 IF Ready
Norway Cup
2-1 2-2 38 D
30/05 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 0-2 46 L
25/05 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 1-0 75 W
14/05 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
5-0 8-0 42 W
10/05 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-0 37 W
02/05 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 1-2 84 L
25/04 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 1-5 82 L

Asker

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 3-2 74 W
20/06 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-0 53 W
13/06 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 6-0 42 W
30/05 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-2 2-2 66 D
25/05 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 0-4 83 L
16/05 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-2 4-2 44 W
09/05 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 5-0 94 W
02/05 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 2-1 14 W
25/04 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 4-1 56 W
18/04 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 3-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Union Carl Berner vs Asker?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Asker win (58%). Probabilities: FK Union Carl Berner 22%, draw 20%, Asker 58%.

How many goals are expected in FK Union Carl Berner vs Asker?

The model expects 3.63 goals (FK Union Carl Berner 1.35 · Asker 2.28), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Union Carl Berner vs Asker?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.