Prediction: Junkeren vs Lørenskog

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Junkeren1.2
Lørenskog2.03
1X2
22% 22% 56%
Junkeren Draw Lørenskog
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Junkeren 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLWWLWLD
Lørenskog 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Junkeren 1487 · Lørenskog 1567
JunkerenDrawLørenskog
Our model21%23%56%
Market22%22%56%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lørenskog (rating 1487 vs 1567).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JunkerenLørenskog
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.92.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 10.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.24.2 / 0

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kjelsås 12912 271728
2 Levanger 12903 251327
3 Eidsvold TF 12822 271126
4 Lørenskog 12822 251126
5 Honefoss 12723 271723
6 Grorud 12624 181320
7 Tromsdalen 12516 202616
8 Rana FK 11425 182014
9 Junkeren 12426 162114
10 Skeid 12417 201913
11 Stjørdals/Blink 12327 182311
12 Ullensaker/Kisa 12309 18399
13 Follo 11227 13238
14 Trygg/Lade 121110 15344

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJunkerenLørenskog
Grorud 0-3 L 1-0 W
Honefoss 4-3 W 1-1 D
Levanger 0-3 L 1-0 W
Ullensaker/Kisa 3-0 W 5-1 W
Rana FK 2-1 W 1-2 L
Kjelsås 2-3 L 1-4 L
Follo 0-2 L 1-0 W
Trygg/Lade 3-2 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lørenskog (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Junkeren

WLLLWWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Stjørdals/Blink
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-1 51 D
21/06 Grorud
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-3 0-3 53 L
14/06 Honefoss
Norway Division 2 Group 2
2-2 4-3 31 W
31/05 Levanger
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 0-3 04 L
25/05 Ullensaker/Kisa
Norway Division 2 Group 2
3-0 3-0 24 W
16/05 Rana FK
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-1 2-1 47 W
09/05 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 2-3 12 L
03/05 Follo
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 0-2 710 L
25/04 Eidsvold TF
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 0-1 62 L
19/04 Trygg/Lade
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-1 3-2 36 W

Lørenskog

WWLLWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Grorud
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-0 12 W
21/06 Trygg/Lade
Norway Division 2 Group 2
2-1 4-1 56 W
14/06 Tromsdalen
Norway Division 2 Group 2
3-0 6-0 53 W
31/05 Honefoss
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 1-1 64 D
25/05 Levanger
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-0 44 W
16/05 Follo
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-0 56 W
10/05 Rana FK
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 1-2 34 L
02/05 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-2 1-4 77 L
25/04 Ullensaker/Kisa
Norway Division 2 Group 2
2-0 5-1 33 W
18/04 Skeid
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-0 2-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Junkeren vs Lørenskog?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lørenskog win (56%). Probabilities: Junkeren 22%, draw 22%, Lørenskog 56%.

How many goals are expected in Junkeren vs Lørenskog?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Junkeren 1.2 · Lørenskog 2.03), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Junkeren vs Lørenskog?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.