Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Lørenskog vs Kjelsås

Team pages: Lørenskog · Kjelsås

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Lørenskog1.53

Kjelsås2.05

1X2

28% 23% 49%

Lørenskog Draw Kjelsås

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lørenskog 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLWLD

Kjelsås 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Lørenskog 0–5 Kjelsås (5 last)

Kjelsås4-1Lørenskog
Lørenskog1-2Kjelsås
Kjelsås3-0Lørenskog
Lørenskog0-3Kjelsås
Kjelsås4-0Lørenskog

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kjelsås (rating 1421 vs 1555).
H2H favours Kjelsås: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lørenskog	Kjelsås
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.8	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.84

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.79 → 5.79	Pinn 5.79
X	4.49 → 4.49	Pinn 4.49
2	1.43 → 1.43	Pinn 1.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +27’	5.79	4.49	1.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lørenskog 0–0–5 Kjelsås

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	4-1 HT 2-0	Lørenskog
14/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Lørenskog	1-2 HT 0-1	Kjelsås
08/04/17 Europe Friendlies	Kjelsås	3-0 HT 1-0	Lørenskog
11/10/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Lørenskog	0-3 HT 0-2	Kjelsås
28/06/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Kjelsås	4-0 HT 1-0	Lørenskog

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	23	17	3	3	55	20	54
2	Kjelsås	23	16	2	5	53	32	50
3	Levanger	23	15	1	7	53	27	46
4	Honefoss	23	14	4	5	56	33	46
5	Grorud	23	14	4	5	43	21	46
6	Tromsdalen	23	11	2	10	40	38	35
7	Lørenskog	23	10	4	9	36	40	34
8	Stjørdals/Blink	23	10	3	10	38	39	33
9	Junkeren	23	9	4	10	32	39	31
10	Rana FK	23	9	3	11	38	41	30
11	Skeid	23	6	2	15	33	52	20
12	Follo	23	3	5	15	27	50	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	23	4	1	18	30	74	13
14	Trygg/Lade	23	2	4	17	28	56	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lørenskog	Kjelsås
Grorud	0-4 L	2-3 L
Skeid	4-1 W	1-4 L
Stjørdals/Blink	0-2 L	5-0 W
Rana FK	1-0 W	2-0 W
Junkeren	1-1 D	2-0 W
Levanger	0-5 L	4-1 W
Eidsvold TF	1-7 L	0-1 L
Tromsdalen	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kjelsås (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lørenskog

LLLLDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	2	2	D
03/10	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	6	1	L
27/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
13/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	2	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	6	3	L

Kjelsås

WLWWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
03/10	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
20/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-3	7	7	L
13/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
05/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
08/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lørenskog vs Kjelsås?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kjelsås win (49%). Probabilities: Lørenskog 28%, draw 23%, Kjelsås 49%.

How many goals are expected in Lørenskog vs Kjelsås?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Lørenskog 1.53 · Kjelsås 2.05), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lørenskog vs Kjelsås?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.