Prediction: Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam FC
Expected goals: 2.21 (Suwon Bluewings 1.29 · Seongnam FC 0.92). The model gives 44% home, 30% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Suwon Bluewings with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Seongnam FC has piled up 2-5-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Suwon Bluewings won 4 and Seongnam FC 1, with 1 draw.
| Suwon Bluewings | Draw | Seongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Suwon Bluewings: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon Bluewings | Seongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon Bluewings 4–1–1 Seongnam FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Seongnam FC |
| 06/06/25 South Korea K League 2 | Seongnam FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Suwon Bluewings |
| 27/04/25 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Seongnam FC |
| 22/09/24 South Korea K League 2 | Seongnam FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Suwon Bluewings |
| 22/06/24 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Seongnam FC |
| 05/05/24 South Korea K League 2 | Seongnam FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Suwon Bluewings |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 5 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Suwon FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suwon Bluewings | Seongnam FC |
|---|---|---|
| Hwaseong FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Cheonan City | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Suwon FC | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Gyeongnam FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Yongin FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suwon Bluewings
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Seongnam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon Bluewings win (44%). Probabilities: Suwon Bluewings 44%, draw 30%, Seongnam FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam FC?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Suwon Bluewings 1.29 · Seongnam FC 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.