Prediction: Busan I Park vs Gimpo FC
Expected goals: 2.95 (Busan I Park 1.59 · Gimpo FC 1.36). The model gives 41% home, 28% draw, 31% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Busan I Park is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Gimpo FC 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Busan I Park won 1 and Gimpo FC 3, with 2 draws.
| Busan I Park | Draw | Gimpo FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimpo FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Busan I Park | Gimpo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 1–2–3 Gimpo FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Gimpo FC |
| 06/07/25 South Korea K League 2 | Gimpo FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Busan I Park |
| 22/02/25 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimpo FC |
| 24/08/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimpo FC |
| 23/06/24 South Korea K League 2 | Gimpo FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Busan I Park |
| 17/03/24 South Korea K League 2 | Busan I Park | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimpo FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Suwon FC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Gyeongnam FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 19 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 12 | Yongin FC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Paju Frontier FC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 15 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 9 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Busan I Park | Gimpo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonnam Dragons | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Chungnam Asan FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Paju Frontier FC | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Hwaseong FC | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gimhae FC 2008 | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Suwon Bluewings | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Suwon FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Busan I Park (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Busan I Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Gimpo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs Gimpo FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan I Park win (41%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 41%, draw 28%, Gimpo FC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs Gimpo FC?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Busan I Park 1.59 · Gimpo FC 1.36), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs Gimpo FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.