Prediction: Chungnam Asan FC vs Gyeongnam FC
Expected goals: 2.68 (Chungnam Asan FC 1.57 · Gyeongnam FC 1.11). The model gives 47% home, 27% draw, 26% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Chungnam Asan FC sits at 4-5-1 (W-D-L), while Gyeongnam FC arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Chungnam Asan FC and 0 for Gyeongnam FC, with 1 draw.
| Chungnam Asan FC | Draw | Gyeongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chungnam Asan FC (rating 1559 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Chungnam Asan FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chungnam Asan FC | Gyeongnam FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chungnam Asan FC 5–1–0 Gyeongnam FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 09/08/25 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 17/05/25 South Korea K League 2 | Gyeongnam FC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Chungnam Asan FC |
| 01/09/24 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 22/06/24 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 16/03/24 South Korea K League 2 | Gyeongnam FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Chungnam Asan FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Suwon FC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Gyeongnam FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 19 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 12 | Yongin FC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Paju Frontier FC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 15 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 9 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chungnam Asan FC | Gyeongnam FC |
|---|---|---|
| Busan I Park | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Suwon Bluewings | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Yongin FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Cheonan City | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Gimhae FC 2008 | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chungnam Asan FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Gyeongnam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chungnam Asan FC vs Gyeongnam FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chungnam Asan FC win (47%). Probabilities: Chungnam Asan FC 47%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Chungnam Asan FC vs Gyeongnam FC?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Chungnam Asan FC 1.57 · Gyeongnam FC 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chungnam Asan FC vs Gyeongnam FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.