Prediction: Hwaseong FC vs Paju Frontier FC
Expected goals: 2.45 (Hwaseong FC 1.7 · Paju Frontier FC 0.75). The model gives 59% home, 26% draw, 15% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Hwaseong FC with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Paju Frontier FC has piled up 2-2-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hwaseong FC won 2 and Paju Frontier FC 2, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwaseong FC (rating 1532 vs 1445).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hwaseong FC | Paju Frontier FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hwaseong FC 2–2–2 Paju Frontier FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hwaseong FC |
| 07/04/24 South Korea K3 League | Hwaseong FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Paju Frontier FC |
| 15/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hwaseong FC |
| 02/04/23 South Korea K3 League | Hwaseong FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paju Frontier FC |
| 29/10/22 South Korea K3 League | Paju Frontier FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hwaseong FC |
| 05/06/22 South Korea K3 League | Hwaseong FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Paju Frontier FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Daegu FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Suwon FC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Yongin FC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Paju Frontier FC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 15 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hwaseong FC | Paju Frontier FC |
|---|---|---|
| Gyeongnam FC | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Chungbuk Cheongju | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Busan I Park | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Gimpo FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Seongnam FC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hwaseong FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hwaseong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Paju Frontier FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hwaseong FC vs Paju Frontier FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hwaseong FC win (59%). Probabilities: Hwaseong FC 59%, draw 26%, Paju Frontier FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Hwaseong FC vs Paju Frontier FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Hwaseong FC 1.7 · Paju Frontier FC 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hwaseong FC vs Paju Frontier FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.