Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/07, 12:30

Prediction: Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City

Expected goals: 2.58 (Gyeongnam FC 1.36 · Cheonan City 1.22). The model gives 39% home, 29% draw, 32% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Gyeongnam FC is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Cheonan City 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gyeongnam FC won 2 and Cheonan City 2, with 2 draws.

39%1
39% 29% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyeongnam FC 1486 · Cheonan City 1521
Gyeongnam FCDrawCheonan City
Our model39%29%32%
Market39%29%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.58Gyeongnam FC 1.36 · Cheonan City 1.22
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gyeongnam FCCheonan City
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.21.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.13.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyeongnam FC 222 Cheonan City

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/11/25
South Korea K League 2
Gyeongnam FC2-0
HT 1-0
Cheonan City
26/07/25
South Korea K League 2
Cheonan City4-0
HT 2-0
Gyeongnam FC
24/05/25
South Korea K League 2
Gyeongnam FC3-1
HT 3-1
Cheonan City
05/10/24
South Korea K League 2
Cheonan City3-1
HT 1-1
Gyeongnam FC
28/07/24
South Korea K League 2
Gyeongnam FC3-3
HT 0-2
Cheonan City
07/04/24
South Korea K League 2
Cheonan City2-2
HT 1-1
Gyeongnam FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Busan I Park 141022 301732
2 Suwon Bluewings 14923 201229
3 Seoul E-Land FC 15825 251826
4 Daegu FC 14743 271925
5 Hwaseong FC 15744 221725
6 Gimpo FC 14662 191424
7 Suwon FC 14653 262023
8 Chungnam Asan FC 14554 211820
9 Cheonan City 14473 181619
10 Seongnam FC 14383 141417
11 Gyeongnam FC 14446 172316
12 Paju Frontier FC 14428 152014
13 Yongin FC 14275 182213
14 Chungbuk Cheongju 141103 172113
15 Ansan Greeners FC 14329 142511
16 Jeonnam Dragons 14158 15238
17 Gimhae FC 2008 141310 11306

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGyeongnam FCCheonan City
Suwon FC 3-2 W 2-2 D
Seongnam FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Daegu FC 0-2 L 2-1 W
Paju Frontier FC 3-2 W 0-0 D
Suwon Bluewings 0-1 L 2-3 L
Busan I Park 1-2 L 0-1 L
Ansan Greeners FC 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyeongnam FC

DLLWLWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/06 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-2 66 D
31/05 Hwaseong FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-2 24 L
23/05 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 3-2 86 W
17/05 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 66 D
10/05 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-1 26 W
03/05 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-2 21 L
25/04 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 3-2 18 W
18/04 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-1 26 L
04/04 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
1-2 1-2 31 L
28/03 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-1 04 D

Cheonan City

WDWDWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-2 37 D
31/05 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 3-1 63 W
25/05 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-3 23 L
16/05 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 36 D
10/05 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 43 L
03/05 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 43 W
25/04 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-1 42 D
18/04 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-1 24 W
12/04 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-2 03 D
28/03 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyeongnam FC win (39%). Probabilities: Gyeongnam FC 39%, draw 29%, Cheonan City 32%.

How many goals are expected in Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Gyeongnam FC 1.36 · Cheonan City 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.