Football · South Korea K League 2 · 04/07, 12:30

Prediction: Paju Frontier FC vs Yongin FC

Expected goals: 2.41 (Paju Frontier FC 1.16 · Yongin FC 1.24). The model gives 34% home, 29% draw, 38% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Paju Frontier FC sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Yongin FC arrives on a 2-5-3 run.

38%2
34% 29% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paju Frontier FC 1452 · Yongin FC 1491
Paju Frontier FCDrawYongin FC
Our model33%30%37%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.41Paju Frontier FC 1.16 · Yongin FC 1.24
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paju Frontier FCYongin FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.51.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.72.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.44.1 / 0.4

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Busan I Park 141022 301732
2 Suwon Bluewings 14923 201229
3 Seoul E-Land FC 15825 251826
4 Daegu FC 14743 271925
5 Hwaseong FC 15744 221725
6 Gimpo FC 14662 191424
7 Suwon FC 14653 262023
8 Chungnam Asan FC 14554 211820
9 Cheonan City 14473 181619
10 Seongnam FC 14383 141417
11 Gyeongnam FC 14446 172316
12 Paju Frontier FC 14428 152014
13 Yongin FC 14275 182213
14 Chungbuk Cheongju 141103 172113
15 Ansan Greeners FC 14329 142511
16 Jeonnam Dragons 14158 15238
17 Gimhae FC 2008 141310 11306

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaju Frontier FCYongin FC
Daegu FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Busan I Park 1-4 L 0-2 L
Gyeongnam FC 2-3 L 2-2 D
Seongnam FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Seoul E-Land FC 1-3 L 2-2 D
Gimhae FC 2008 3-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yongin FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paju Frontier FC

LWLWLDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/06 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-1 68 L
30/05 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-4 62 L
25/05 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-1 41 L
16/05 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 16 D
03/05 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 61 D
25/04 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
2-1 2-3 28 L
19/04 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-0 26 W
11/04 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-3 33 L
05/04 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-0 3-1 47 W
29/03 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 1-2 36 L

Yongin FC

LDLWLWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/06 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-2 16 D
30/05 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 54 D
24/05 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 74 D
16/05 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-2 64 D
10/05 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 2-1 53 W
03/05 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-2 44 L
26/04 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
3-0 4-1 15 W
11/04 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-2 42 L
04/04 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-2 56 D
28/03 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paju Frontier FC vs Yongin FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yongin FC win (38%). Probabilities: Paju Frontier FC 34%, draw 29%, Yongin FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Paju Frontier FC vs Yongin FC?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Paju Frontier FC 1.16 · Yongin FC 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paju Frontier FC vs Yongin FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.