Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/07, 12:30

Prediction: Gimhae FC 2008 vs Seoul E-Land FC

Expected goals: 2.88 (Gimhae FC 2008 0.99 · Seoul E-Land FC 1.89). The model gives 19% home, 24% draw, 57% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Gimhae FC 2008 is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Seoul E-Land FC 6-1-3 over its own.

57%2
19% 24% 57%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimhae FC 2008 1442 · Seoul E-Land FC 1539
Gimhae FC 2008DrawSeoul E-Land FC
Our model18%24%57%
Market19%24%58%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Gimhae FC 2008 0.99 · Seoul E-Land FC 1.89
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seoul E-Land FC (rating 1442 vs 1539).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gimhae FC 2008Seoul E-Land FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.91.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.90.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/40/60%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.11.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.23.3 / 0.4

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Busan I Park 141022 301732
2 Suwon Bluewings 14923 201229
3 Seoul E-Land FC 15825 251826
4 Daegu FC 14743 271925
5 Hwaseong FC 15744 221725
6 Gimpo FC 14662 191424
7 Suwon FC 14653 262023
8 Chungnam Asan FC 14554 211820
9 Cheonan City 14473 181619
10 Seongnam FC 14383 141417
11 Gyeongnam FC 14446 172316
12 Paju Frontier FC 14428 152014
13 Yongin FC 14275 182213
14 Chungbuk Cheongju 141103 172113
15 Ansan Greeners FC 14329 142511
16 Jeonnam Dragons 14158 15238
17 Gimhae FC 2008 141310 11306

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGimhae FC 2008Seoul E-Land FC
Seongnam FC 1-1 D 3-1 W
Gimpo FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 W 1-0 W
Yongin FC 1-4 L 2-2 D
Chungbuk Cheongju 1-1 D 1-2 L
Chungnam Asan FC 1-1 D 0-3 L
Paju Frontier FC 1-3 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul E-Land FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimhae FC 2008

LDDLLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/06 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 24 D
30/05 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-2 54 L
23/05 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-0 21 W
17/05 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-4 15 L
10/05 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-2 36 L
03/05 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 46 L
26/04 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-3 1-4 35 L
18/04 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 53 D
12/04 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-1 52 D
05/04 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-3 17 L

Seoul E-Land FC

WWWLWLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-2 54 L
31/05 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-0 10 W
24/05 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
2-0 3-1 26 W
16/05 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-2 64 D
09/05 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-3 81 L
03/05 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 2-1 28 W
26/04 Hwaseong FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-2 62 L
19/04 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-0 25 W
11/04 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 3-1 93 W
04/04 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 3-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimhae FC 2008 vs Seoul E-Land FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Seoul E-Land FC win (57%). Probabilities: Gimhae FC 2008 19%, draw 24%, Seoul E-Land FC 57%.

How many goals are expected in Gimhae FC 2008 vs Seoul E-Land FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Gimhae FC 2008 0.99 · Seoul E-Land FC 1.89), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimhae FC 2008 vs Seoul E-Land FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.