Football · South Korea K League 2 · 04/07, 12:30

Prediction: Chungbuk Cheongju vs Daegu FC

Expected goals: 2.66 (Chungbuk Cheongju 0.94 · Daegu FC 1.72). The model gives 20% home, 25% draw, 55% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Chungbuk Cheongju with 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Daegu FC has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Chungbuk Cheongju and 0 for Daegu FC, with 1 draw.

55%2
20% 25% 55%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chungbuk Cheongju 1494 · Daegu FC 1523
Chungbuk CheongjuDrawDaegu FC
Our model19%26%55%
Market20%25%55%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Chungbuk Cheongju 0.94 · Daegu FC 1.72
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 55%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chungbuk CheongjuDaegu FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.62.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chungbuk Cheongju 010 Daegu FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/24
South Korea Cup
Daegu FC1-1
HT 0-1
Chungbuk Cheongju

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Busan I Park 141022 301732
2 Suwon Bluewings 14923 201229
3 Seoul E-Land FC 15825 251826
4 Daegu FC 14743 271925
5 Hwaseong FC 15744 221725
6 Gimpo FC 14662 191424
7 Suwon FC 14653 262023
8 Chungnam Asan FC 14554 211820
9 Cheonan City 14473 181619
10 Seongnam FC 14383 141417
11 Gyeongnam FC 14446 172316
12 Paju Frontier FC 14428 152014
13 Yongin FC 14275 182213
14 Chungbuk Cheongju 141103 172113
15 Ansan Greeners FC 14329 142511
16 Jeonnam Dragons 14158 15238
17 Gimhae FC 2008 141310 11306

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChungbuk CheongjuDaegu FC
Seoul E-Land FC 2-1 W 1-3 L
Gimpo FC 1-1 D 3-3 D
Paju Frontier FC 0-0 D 1-0 W
Gimhae FC 2008 1-1 D 4-1 W
Cheonan City 2-2 D 1-2 L
Suwon Bluewings 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 5 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chungbuk Cheongju

LDDDDDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 2-1 44 W
23/05 Hwaseong FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 2-3 45 L
16/05 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-2 14 D
09/05 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-1 63 D
03/05 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 31 D
26/04 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 67 D
18/04 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 63 D
12/04 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-2 43 D
05/04 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 53 D
29/03 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-2 73 L

Daegu FC

LDDLWDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/06 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-0 58 W
30/05 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 54 D
24/05 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 3-0 71 W
17/05 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-0 4-1 45 W
09/05 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
03/05 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 2-0 61 W
18/04 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-2 114 L
11/04 Suwon FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 2-2 66 D
05/04 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-1 3-3 33 D
29/03 Seoul E-Land FC
South Korea K League 2
1-2 1-3 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Daegu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Daegu FC win (55%). Probabilities: Chungbuk Cheongju 20%, draw 25%, Daegu FC 55%.

How many goals are expected in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Daegu FC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Chungbuk Cheongju 0.94 · Daegu FC 1.72), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Daegu FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.