Prediction: Pine Hills vs Souths United
Expected goals: 3.43 (Pine Hills 1.86 · Souths United 1.56). The model gives 45% home, 23% draw, 32% away. Under 3.75 goals (57%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Pine Hills sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Souths United arrives on a 4-0-6 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Pine Hills and 3 for Souths United.
| Pine Hills | Draw | Souths United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pine Hills (rating 1549 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Souths United: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pine Hills | Souths United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.7 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pine Hills 2–0–3 Souths United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Pine Hills |
| 12/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pine Hills |
| 11/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Souths United |
| 13/07/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Pine Hills |
| 13/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 6-1 HT 5-0 | Souths United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Virginia United | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 22 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 39 | 22 |
| 7 | Souths United | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 22 |
| 8 | Taringa Rovers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | 17 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 17 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 16 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pine Hills | Souths United |
|---|---|---|
| Samford Rangers | 5-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Caloundra | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Mitchelton FC | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Virginia United | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Grange Thistle | 3-3 D | 0-4 L |
| SWQ Thunder | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 0-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Southside Eagles | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Pine Hills (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pine Hills
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Souths United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pine Hills vs Souths United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pine Hills win (45%). Probabilities: Pine Hills 45%, draw 23%, Souths United 32%.
How many goals are expected in Pine Hills vs Souths United?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Pine Hills 1.86 · Souths United 1.56), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pine Hills vs Souths United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.