Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi
Team pages: Torpedo Kutaisi · FC Rustavi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Torpedo Kutaisi1.31
FC Rustavi1.25
1X2
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw
FC Rustavi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Torpedo Kutaisi
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
FC Rustavi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torpedo Kutaisi
1–2–3
FC Rustavi
(6 last)
- FC Rustavi1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
- Torpedo Kutaisi1-1FC Rustavi
- FC Rustavi1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
- FC Rustavi2-4Torpedo Kutaisi
- FC Rustavi2-0Torpedo Kutaisi
- FC Rustavi0-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Torpedo Kutaisi 1461 · FC Rustavi 1543
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Draw | FC Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rustavi (rating 1461 vs 1543).
- H2H favours FC Rustavi: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torpedo Kutaisi | FC Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Kutaisi 1–2–3 FC Rustavi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Rustavi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 05/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Rustavi |
| 07/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Rustavi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 12/10/22 Georgia Cup | FC Rustavi | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 27/10/19 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Rustavi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 25/09/19 Georgia Cup | FC Rustavi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | FC Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 31 | 48 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 33 | 40 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 52 | 38 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Gagra | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 43 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Spaeri | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 46 | 26 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torpedo Kutaisi | FC Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| FC Spaeri | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Batumi | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Samgurali | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Gagra | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Dila Gori | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 4-3 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Rustavi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torpedo Kutaisi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 14/09 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
FC Rustavi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 09/09 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Kutaisi win (37%). Probabilities: Torpedo Kutaisi 37%, draw 29%, FC Rustavi 34%.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Torpedo Kutaisi 1.31 · FC Rustavi 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.