Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 02/08, 15:00
Prediction: Sotra vs Arendal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Sotra1.89
Arendal1.1
1X2
Sotra
Draw
Arendal
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sotra
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Arendal
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sotra
3–2–1
Arendal
(6 last)
- Arendal1-1Sotra
- Sotra3-1Arendal
- Arendal1-1Sotra
- Arendal0-1Sotra
- Sotra2-1Arendal
- Sotra1-2Arendal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sotra 1484 · Arendal 1501
| Sotra | Draw | Arendal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sotra: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sotra | Arendal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 4.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sotra 3–2–1 Arendal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Arendal | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sotra |
| 07/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Arendal |
| 02/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Arendal | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sotra |
| 08/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Arendal | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sotra |
| 26/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Arendal |
| 24/09/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Arendal |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Mjondalen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Brattvåg | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden FK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Bjarg | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 22 |
| 6 | Notodden | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Træff | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 8 | Sotra | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | Pors Grenland | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Arendal | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Lysekloster | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 14 |
| 12 | Sandviken | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 14 |
| 13 | Eik Tønsberg | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
| 14 | Vidar | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sotra | Arendal |
|---|---|---|
| Jerv | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Kvik Halden FK | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Brattvåg | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Vidar | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Eik Tønsberg | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pors Grenland | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sotra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
6-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Arendal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sotra vs Arendal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sotra win (55%). Probabilities: Sotra 55%, draw 24%, Arendal 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sotra vs Arendal?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Sotra 1.89 · Arendal 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sotra vs Arendal?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.