Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Arendal vs Pors Grenland

Team pages: Arendal · Pors Grenland

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Arendal1.64

Pors Grenland1.15

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Arendal Draw Pors Grenland

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Arendal 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDDDWWWL

Pors Grenland 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDWLWD

Head-to-head

Arendal 5–1 Pors Grenland (6 last)

Pors Grenland2-4Arendal
Arendal3-1Pors Grenland
Pors Grenland1-0Arendal
Pors Grenland2-3Arendal
Pors Grenland0-3Arendal
Arendal5-1Pors Grenland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arendal 1509 · Pors Grenland 1509

	Arendal	Draw	Pors Grenland
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Arendal: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arendal	Pors Grenland
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.1	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.75

23.30

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.79
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 4.21 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +2’	1.83	3.75	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +1’	1.72	3.83	4.21
20:29 +2’	1.74▲	3.79▼	4.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arendal 5–0–1 Pors Grenland

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Pors Grenland	2-4 HT 1-1	Arendal
30/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	3-1 HT 1-0	Pors Grenland
05/07/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Pors Grenland	1-0 HT 0-0	Arendal
18/05/22 Norway Cup	Pors Grenland	2-3 HT 0-2	Arendal
10/09/16 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Pors Grenland	0-3 HT 0-1	Arendal
21/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Arendal	5-1 HT 0-1	Pors Grenland

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	14	10	2	2	28	15	32
2	Kvik Halden FK	14	8	3	3	27	18	27
3	Brattvåg	14	8	2	4	26	15	26
4	Mjondalen	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	Bjarg	14	8	1	5	25	20	25
6	Notodden	14	7	3	4	21	11	24
7	Træff	14	6	4	4	27	23	22
8	Sotra	14	6	3	5	27	14	21
9	Pors Grenland	14	5	4	5	16	18	19
10	Arendal	14	3	5	6	18	23	14
11	Sandviken	14	4	2	8	21	32	14
12	Lysekloster	14	3	5	6	17	28	14
13	Vidar	14	1	3	10	13	37	6
14	Eik Tønsberg	14	1	1	12	16	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arendal	Pors Grenland
Sotra	0-3 L	0-0 D
Vidar	4-0 W	1-1 D
Træff	3-1 W	3-3 D
Eik Tønsberg	0-0 D	2-0 W
Lysekloster	1-1 D	2-1 W
Brattvåg	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pors Grenland (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arendal

DLLDDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-3	0-3	4	3	L
25/07	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	4-0	10	2	W
27/06	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	4-2	11	4	W
21/06	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
13/06	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
31/05	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
25/05	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
10/05	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
03/05	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Pors Grenland

DWLDWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
27/06	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	2-4	1	4	L
20/06	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
13/06	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
31/05	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	3-3	1	2	D
16/05	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
09/05	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
03/05	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arendal vs Pors Grenland?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arendal win (48%). Probabilities: Arendal 48%, draw 25%, Pors Grenland 27%.

How many goals are expected in Arendal vs Pors Grenland?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Arendal 1.64 · Pors Grenland 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Arendal vs Pors Grenland?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.